The Toronto Blue Jays (38-33) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (36-35) on June 17, 2025. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on ARID.
Read our Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays prediction and MLB pick below.
My Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Picks: Under 9 (-130, BetMGM)
My Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 9 100o / -130u | +100 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 9 100o / -130u | -120 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | Stat | RHP Chris Bassitt (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4 | W-L | 7-3 |
| -0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.4 |
| 5.50/7.22 | ERA / xERA | 3.70/3.57 |
| 5.12/4.13 | FIP / xFIP | 3.61/3.52 |
| 1.42 | WHIP | 1.31 |
| 11.9 | K-BB% | 17.1 |
| 41.6 | GB% | 45.9 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 101 | Location+ | 104 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Toronto Blue Jays open a three-game series on Tuesday with both teams looking to rebound from weekend setbacks.
The Diamondbacks dropped Sunday’s matchup against the Padres, 8-2, snapping a five-game winning streak. The Blue Jays, meanwhile, were swept by the Phillies, including lopsided losses of 8-0 and 11-4.
Arizona is listed as a +100 underdog on the moneyline, while Toronto is a narrow favorite at -120. Despite being dogs on the moneyline, the Diamondbacks are favored on the run line (-1.5), signaling a tight and potentially low-scoring affair.
Brandon Pfaadt (eight wins, tied for NL lead) takes the mound for the Diamondbacks, facing the Blue Jays for the first time in his career.
Opposing him is veteran Chris Bassitt, who's quietly turned in two solid June starts, tossing seven innings in both and posting a 3.21 ERA this month.
The real edge lies in the total. This game aligns with Evan Abrams’ "Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams" system — a historically profitable angle that targets inflated totals in games between teams with strong records (win rates of 51% or higher).
With public bettors hammering the over, oddsmakers often shade totals upward to account for perceived offensive fireworks. Yet these matchups often feature above-average pitching, sharper bullpen execution and playoff-like intensity, all of which lead to suppressed scoring.
Pick: Under 9 (-130, BetMGM)
