The New York Mets host the Athletics on April 12, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -178 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Athletics are +150 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Athletics vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Athletics vs Mets Prediction
- Athletics vs Mets Pick: Under 8
My Athletics vs Mets best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Athletics vs Mets Odds
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -152 | 8 -105o / -115u | +150 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +126 | 8 -105o / -115u | -178 |
- Athletics vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+126), Athletics +1.5 (-152)
- Athletics vs Mets over/under: 8 (-105o / -115u)
- Athletics vs Mets moneyline: Athletics +150, Mets -178
Athletics vs Mets Pitchers
| Aaron Civale (RHP) | Stat | Freddy Peralta (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | W-L | 7-7 |
| 1-0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1-0 |
| 2.70 / 3.72 | ERA / xERA | 4.80 / 2.74 |
| 5.45 / 4.50 | FIP / xFIP | 3.55 / 2.58 |
| 1.10 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| 9.5% | K-BB% | 21.9% |
| 44.4% | GB% | 51.4% |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 107 | Location+ | 109 |
Athletics vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
This system isolates regular-season games where weather and market conditions align to suppress scoring.
Environmental filters play a key role in this system. Temperatures between 27 and 70 degrees, wind speeds between two and 13 MPH, and wind direction either blowing in or across the field are all factors shown to reduce offensive output.
The system bets the Under when market expectations, game context, and weather patterns point to lower-than-expected run production — consistently exploiting soft totals inflated by public bias or overlooked conditions.
Athletics vs Mets Picks
Citi Field is a tough run-scoring environment, and the weather won’t help hitters on Sunday.
BallParkPal is projecting a -18% run-scoring factor behind a -34% home run factor, lowering the projected total by 1.6 runs compared to a weather-neutral day.
I think Freddy Peralta should benefit from these solid conditions. He’s been snake-bitten in the early going (2.80 ERA, 2.74 xERA, 2.58 xFIP), and I think he’s due for a bounce-back performance.
Pick: Under 8
