The Philadelphia Phillies host the Athletics on May 5, 2026. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH.
The Phillies are favored by -188 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Athletics are +158 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Athletics vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Athletics vs Phillies Prediction
- Athletics vs Phillies Pick: Phillies ML (-205 or Better)
My Athletics vs Phillies best bet is on Philadelphia's money line. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Athletics vs Phillies Odds
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -130 | 9 -105o / -115u | +158 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +108 | 9 -105o / -115u | -188 |
- Athletics vs Phillies moneyline: Athletics +158, Phillies -188
- Athletics vs Phillies over/under: 9 (-105o / -115u)
- Athletics vs Phillies spread: Phillies -1.5 (+108), Athletics +1.5 (-130)
Athletics vs Phillies Pitchers
| Luis Severino (RHP, ATH) | Stat | Cristopher Sanchez (LHP, PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 4.46 / 4.29 | ERA / xERA | 2.90 / 3.39 |
| 4.37 / 4.35 | FIP / xFIP | 2.60 / 2.76 |
| 10.5% | K-BB% | 20.6% |
| 41.7% | GB% | 57.3% |
| .301 | BABIP | .395 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 116 |
| 97 | Location+ | 97 |
Athletics vs Phillies MLB Betting Preview
Editor's Note: This written best bet is a transcription from the latest episode of the Payoff Pitch Podcast.
Cristopher Sanchez has a significant edge over Luis Severino as a starting pitcher, about a run and a half in underlying metrics. I project Sanchez as a top-10 starting pitcher, while I rank Severino as SP No. 99, or a slightly below-average starter.
I also give the Phillies a massive bullpen advantage. I project the Phillies as a top-12 bullpen, while I project the A’s as the league’s third-worst bullpen.
Athletics vs Phillies Pick, Betting Analysis
The weather is also a significant factor. We’re expecting solid hitting weather, with double-digit winds blowing out toward left field and temperatures in the low-70s.
The ball should be flying today, and that really benefits Philadelphia, given that Sanchez (57% GB rate) keeps the ball on the ground far more often than Severino (42% GB rate).
I project the Phillies as -225 ML favorites, so I would bet them at -205 or better.
Pick: Phillies ML (-205 or Better)
