The San Francisco Giants host the Baltimore Orioles on August 29, 2025. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.
Find my MLB betting preview and Orioles vs Giants prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Orioles vs Giants Prediction
- Orioles vs Giants picks: Over 7.5
My Orioles vs Giants best bet is Over 7.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Giants Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | +125 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +154 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | -150 |
Kenny Ducey’s Orioles vs Giants Preview
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles will run Dean Kremer out to the mound again on Friday, a microcosm of what's gone wrong with this team. Baltimore's reluctance to add help in the rotation seemed to convince us all that we were wrong, and it was right, to trust in its collection of flawed arms, and here we are in August with the Orioles well out of the race for a playoff spot.
Kremer is the same as he's ever been, pitching to a ton of contact in the air and a poor .425 Expected Slugging. That's the downside of being a fly-baller, sure, but those who succeed in pitching this way will actually flaunt a solid-enough Expected Batting Average given there's a lower likelihood that fly balls will turn into base hits. Kremer hasn't even been able to manage that, with his xBA increasing 12 points this season at .251.
With swing-and-miss continuing to be an issue for Kremer and his walk rate being low, we can clearly see he's just laying in very hittable strikes to his opponents and hoping for the best result on contact. Unfortunately, even with the park upgrade on Friday, the Orioles' outfield ranks second-worst in Outs Above Average and may actually put Kremer at a disadvantage with the spacious dimensions of Oracle Park turning fly balls into extra-base hits.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
Robbie Ray is somehow still just 33 years old, so perhaps even with the injuries he's dealt with, we shouldn't be so surprised he's managed to remain effective in 2025. While the strikeout numbers aren't what they used to be — he's lost nine points off his punchout rate from his 30 2/3 innings in 2024 and is 4 1/2 points below his career average — he's been great on contact with a .226 xBA and .395 xSLG.
Walks continue to hurt Ray, however, and that's what's bloated his Expected ERA a bit at 3.65. If not for that, he'd be looking like a pitcher that's very much pitched true to his results, and especially at home, where he can turn more of his fly balls into outs, he's one we can trust.
With that said, Ray's begun to hit a bit of a wall — which I suppose is what happens when you're working your way towards the finish line of your first full season in a few years. His xBA went up to .240 last month and is at .266 here in August, which, as we've noted with Kremer, is not a great sign for a fly-baller.
He's at least suppressed the power a bit better at home, and the roughly .413 xSLG since the start of July isn't the worst in the world. He's continued to get fewer whiffs, too, but the benefit has been a lower walk rate, which is under 8% in three of the last four months.
Orioles vs Giants Prediction, Betting Analysis
It's hard to take a look at this incredibly low total, and then the two men starting here, and not take the over.
Even if the air is going to kill fly balls, I don't think either of these arms has given us any confidence lately that they'll manage to escape trouble. Baltimore is hitting a surprising .249 in the last two weeks, and if not for a bloated 23.6% strikeout rate, would be scoring more runs. Ray's begun to lose his swing-and-miss ability, and with his xBA skyrocketing in the last 50 or so days, the Orioles should be able to scratch some runs across here.
Kremer, meanwhile, will be dealing with a hot Giants offense, which owns a glistening .212 Isolated Power in the last two weeks, and one which has been striking out like it's going out of style. Unlike Ray, Kremer has never been a high-strikeout arm, so there's little to worry about — and plenty of reason to believe in San Francisco's ability to get balls back into play. That hasn't gone very well for the Orioles' righty this season, and his defense also won't be doing him any favors.
Pick: Over 7.5 (-105) | Play to -118
Orioles vs Giants Weather
