The Los Angeles Angels host the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, June 25, 2025. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FanDuel Sports West and NESN.
The Angels look to complete the sweep of the Red Sox on Wednesday behind ace Yusei Kikuchi. Can the Halos get it done and get back to .500?
The Angels are -130 moneyline favorites, while the Red Sox are +110 moneyline underdogs. The Angels are also -1.5 run-line favorites. The total is 8.5 runs.
Continue below to find my Red Sox vs Angels prediction for the Wednesday series finale.
Red Sox vs Angels Prediction
- Red Sox vs Angels picks: Over 8.5 (-122 | Play to -130)
My Red Sox vs Angels best bet is Over 8.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs Angels Odds & Game Information
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +160 | 8.5 -120o / -100u | +110 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 8.5 -120o / -100u | -130 |
Red Sox vs Angels Probable Pitchers
| RHP Richard Fitts (BOS) | Stat | LHP Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | W-L | 2-6 |
| -0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.3 |
| 4.71 / 5.61 | ERA / xERA | 3.01 / 4.52 |
| 5.88 / 4.75 | FIP / xFIP | 4.20 / 4.33 |
| 1.29 | WHIP | 1.43 |
| 8.8% | K-BB% | 11.4% |
| 38.8% | GB% | 39.8% |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 101 | Location+ | 104 |
Red Sox vs Angels Betting Insights
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
Richard Fitts continues to work his way back into form following his return from injury, but his latest outing suggests he still has a long way to go. Fitts was pulled after just one inning, as he surrendered five runs on four hits.
He allowed three home runs while recording just three outs. His opponent in that matchup?
The Angels.
There were 13 total runs scored in that game, and a similarly high-scoring affair is likely on Wednesday. Fitts’ underlying metrics suggest his struggles will continue.
If he qualified, the right-hander would rank in the bottom half of the league in expected ERA (xERA), expected batting average (xBA), barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.
Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview
Meanwhile, left-hander Yusei Kikuchi takes the mound for Los Angeles. He has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league with a 3.01 ERA, but the rest of his metrics suggest that regression is looming.
Despite that low ERA, Kikuchi owns a 1.43 WHIP and ranks in the bottom third of the league in xERA, average exit velocity, walk rate, and barrel rate. That expected regression could begin against Boston, a team against which he has historically struggled.
Over his past five meetings with the Red Sox, Kikuchi is 0-2 with a 7.33 ERA and 1.93 WHIP. If Kikuchi gets chased early, this outing could turn into a long one for the Angels, considering they have one of the worst bullpens in the league.
This season, Los Angeles’ relief corps ranks 28th in ERA, 29th in fielding independent pitching (FIP), 27th in expected FIP (xFIP), and last in wins above replacement (WAR).
The good news for this pitching staff is that it should receive plenty of run support, as the Angels rank in the top half of the league in both slugging percentage and home runs.
Red Sox vs Angels Pick, Prediction, Betting Analysis
That power was on display against Fitts in the last meeting, and the underlying data suggests more of the same.
In just eight combined plate appearances against him, the current Los Angeles roster boasts a .564 xBA, 1.607 expected slugging percentage (xSLG,) and .867 expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA).
On the other side, Boston should have no issue producing offense of its own. The Red Sox enter this matchup ranked in the top seven in runs scored per game, hits per game, slugging percentage and OPS.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-122 | Play to -130)
Moneyline
I lean toward Los Angeles, but I don't want to back Kikuchi.
Run Line (Spread)
I also like Los Angeles to cover, but I'm staying away for the same reason listed above.
Over/Under
As mentioned, I'm betting over 8.5.
