The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Colorado Rockies on May 16, 2025. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on ARID.
Read our Rockies vs Diamondbacks predictions and MLB player prop picks below.
My Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction
- Rockies vs Diamondbacks Picks: Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs (-305, bet365)
My Rockies vs Diamondbacks best bet is on Corbin Carroll's home run prop. Check our live MLB odds page to find the best odds.
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+325 | 9 -110 / -110 | +1.5 +160 |
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
-425 | 9 -110 / -110 | -1.5 -190 |
Alex Kolodziej’s Rockies vs Diamondbacks Preview
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop
The sharp betting angle on this game is wagering on superstar Corbin Carroll not to hit a home run.
Many bettors will be tempted to back Carroll to go deep on Friday, given he’s already hit 14 bombs this year.
However, the market is overvaluing that outcome.
Our Action PRO Model projects Carroll hits a home run 22% of the time, implying fair odds closer to +350 — the +245 offered at bet365 is terrible value.
Conversely, our model projects the fair odds on Carroll to stay inside the yard closer to -355, giving us value on the -305 price for Under 0.5 Home Runs offered at bet365.
While the Rockies and their pitchers are terrible, the ballpark is reasonably pitcher-friendly. Chase Field boasts MLB’s fifth-lowest home run factor over the past three seasons (87) — for what it's worth, Carroll has hit slightly under half of his home runs at home in his career.
Pick: Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 Home Runs (-305, bet365)
