The San Francisco Giants host the Colorado Rockies on May 1, 2025. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB.TV.
The Rockies snapped an eight-game losing skid Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves and will look to win two consecutive games for the first time this season when they open up a four-game series with the Giants on Thursday evening.
Colorado's Kyle Freeland (5.93 ERA, 30 1/3 IP) will take on San Francisco's Justin Verlander (4.70 ERA, 30 and 2/3 IP) as the Giants enter as a -265 favorite with the total sitting at 7.5.
Find my Rockies vs Giants prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Rockies vs Giants Prediction
Rockies vs Giants Pick: Under 7.5 (-120 · Play to -130)
My Rockies vs Giants best bet is for both teams to stay under the total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Giants Odds, Spread
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -102 | 7.5 +100o / -120u | +220 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -118 | 7.5 +100o / -120u | -275 |
My Rockies vs Giants MLB Betting Preview
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview: Weaker Than Weak
The Rockies weren't expected to be remotely competitive playing in a strong NL West division in 2025, but they've been even worse than expected with a record of just 5-25 so far.
The Rockies were projected to be the worst offensive team in MLB, and as you would expect considering their record, they rank last in most notable offensive categories. They hold a wRC+ of 63 and have batted just .211 as a team. They've struck out more often than any other team (28.4%) and have walked just 7.9% of the time.
Colorado has been just as awful against right-handed pitching, boasting a wRC+ of 64 and a BB/K ratio of 0.27.
Despite playing their home games at baseball's most hitter-friendly ballpark, the Rox still rank second-to-last in runs scored per game this season.
With Ezequiel Tovar, Kris Bryant, Thairo Estrada, Tyler Freeman and Aaron Schunk all on the IL, the Rockies are quietly dealing with a fairly significant injury situation, which certainly hasn't helped matters for a team that already looked thin offensively entering the season.
On the mound, Freeland is off to an ugly start with a 5.93 ERA, which is the second-worst mark of his nine seasons in MLB. His 3.51 xERA is actually the best mark of his career, as is his 3.09 xFIP. His Stuff+ rating of 98 and Pitching+ rating of 101 are also the best marks of his career.
Freeland had a tough schedule to suppress runs. Three of his six starts have come at Coors Field, while his road games have come against the San Diego Padres, Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview: Verlander Looking for a W
Future Hall-of-Famer Justin Verlander will have a good chance of earning his first win of the season and 263rd of his legendary career here.
Verlander enters this matchup off back-to-back quality starts against the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels in which he allowed just three runs combined across 12 innings of work (2.25 ERA).
He allowed an xBA of just .174 in those matchups and held a K/9 rate of 8.25.
Over the entirety of the season, Verlander holds an xERA of 3.90 and an xFIP of 4.42. His stuff also still grades out quite well. He holds a Stuff+ rating of 108 and a Pitching+ rating of 104.
The Giants have struggled with left-handed pitching so far this season, posting a wRC+ rating of 80 while slugging just .358.
They were effective versus lefties in each of the two previous seasons, though, and should be able to produce better results over a larger sample size than we've seen so far.
My Rockies vs Giants Picks, Betting Analysis
Most indicators suggest that Freeland is due for significant positive regression, and a number of key metrics suggest he's actually pitching far better than he has throughout his career.
His new sweeper grades out well, per pitch metrics, and the underlying statistics show batters aren't making much strong contact against it.
This matchup should provide Freeland with a solid opportunity for a much better outing. First pitch calls for 57 degrees at pitcher-friendly Oracle Park, and he'll be taking on a Giants side that hasn't hit left-handed pitching well this season.
Verlander, meanwhile, enters off two straight quality outings and has put up solid underlying statistics overall this season.
He'll face off against the worst lineup in MLB here and should have a good chance of recording a third straight quality start and first win of the season.
I see value in backing these pitchers and fading these offenses at -130 or better.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-120 · Play to -130)
