Stuckey: Friday Night Baseball Betting at the Great American Over Park

May 17, 2019 05:02 PM EDT

David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Reds outfielder Yasiel Puig (66)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds

  • Dodgers Moneyline: -126 (Rich Hill)
  • Reds Moneyline: +116 (Anthony DeSclafani)
  • Over/Under: 9.5
  • First pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET

>> All odds as of 11 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets

I recently wrote about how Petco Park had completely flipped from one of the league’s best under parks to an elite over park in recent years as a result of changes to the park. Well, that’s not the case with Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati.

It’s always been a hitter’s dream since it opened in 2013, replacing Cinergy Field. When you say “hitter’s park,” it is one of five MLB stadiums that immediately pop in my head:

  1. Great American Ballpark (Reds)
  2. Coors Field (Rockies)
  3. Miller Park (Brewers)
  4. Citizens Bank Park (Phillies)
  5. Global Life Park (Rangers)

More importantly, the market has seemed to underestimate the over/unders in Cincinnati. No team in baseball has been more profitable to the over at home since 2005 than the Reds.

A $100 bettor would have profited more than $3,600 by blindly betting overs at Great American Ballpark since 2005, per BetLabs.

I like those over numbers to improve tonight, as I fancy the Dodgers-Reds over 9.5. The ballpark helps but it’s certainly not the primary reason why I bet it. Here are a few of the main reasons why this play jumped out:

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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