The New York Yankees host the Los Angeles Angels on April 13, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on FDSW.
The Yankees are favored by -186on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Angels are +153 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Angels vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Angels vs Yankees Prediction
- Angels vs Yankees Pick: Over 9 (-120 or better) | Yankees Team Total Over 4.5 (-135 or better)
My Angels vs Yankees best bets are on the over total runs and New York to record over 4.5 runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Angels vs Yankees Odds
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -131 | 9 -112o / -108u | +153 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +109 | 9 -112o / -108u | -186 |
- Angels vs Yankees spread: Yankees -1.5 (+109), Angels +1.5 (-131)
- Angels vs Yankees over/under: 9 (-112o / -108u)
- Angels vs Yankees moneyline: Angels +153, Yankees -186
Angels vs Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) | Stat | RHP Will Warren (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 6.75/3.84 | ERA /xERA | 3.07/3.58 |
| 3.07/3.52 | FIP / xFIP | 4.03/3.50 |
| 1.77 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 14.3% | K-BB% | 14.3% |
| 43.8% | GB% | 54.5% |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 112 | Location+ | 106 |
Angels vs Yankees Preview, Picks
The Yankees will return home to the Bronx with the friendliest hitting weather they have had this season; temperatures in the 70s at first pitch, with double-digit gusts (12-14 mph) blowing out to center field.
I would normally project this total closer to 9.2 on a weather-neutral day at Yankee Stadium, but the forecast (particularly the wind) pushed my model closer to 10 for Monday night.
Yusei Kikuchi has had a homer issue throughout his career (1.49 HR/9), and he's going up against the No. 1 offense against lefties (114 wRC+) since the start of last season, both by walk rate (10.7%) and ISO (.193).
The Angels' bullpen has also performed among the worst in baseball this season (24th in xFIP and K-BB%), and they likely are down three arms (Sam Bachman, Brent Suter, and Ryan Zeferjan) for this matchup; among the 20 teams in action on Monday, the Athletics and Nationals are the only teams on the slate that I project worse in weighted bullpen FIP.
The Angels also project as the worst defensive team in my model for Monday and among the two or three worst defensive teams on any given slate.
If the Yankees were the road team here – in the same park with the same weather, projected lineups, starting pitchers, and bullpens – I'd make their team total 5.9; but after factoring for the home 9th inning adjustment given their win probability, it lowers to 5.5.
The simplest approach here is to bet the Over, but betting a Yankees team total Over 4.5 runs (-128) to -135, or 5.5 Runs (+136) to +115, is also a viable approach, even more with (likely) just eight innings to get those runs home.
Pick: Over 9 (-120 or better) | Yankees Team Total Over 4.5 (-135 or better)
