The Los Angeles Angels host the Miami Marlins on May 23, 2025. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSFL.
Read our Marlins vs Angels prediction and MLB pick below.
My Marlins vs Angels Prediction
- Marlins vs Angels Pick: Marlins ML (+125, BetMGM)
My Marlins vs Angels best bet is on Miami ML. Check our live MLB odds page to find the best odds.
Marlins vs Angels Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 8.5 -100o / -120u | +125 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 8.5 -100o / -120u | -155 |
Marlins vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Sandy Alcantara (MIA) | Stat | LHP Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | W-L | 0-4 |
| -0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 7.99 / 5.31 | ERA / xERA | 3.50 / 4.72 |
| 5.36 / 4.60 | FIP / xFIP | 4.41 / 4.42 |
| 1.61 | WHIP | 1.44 |
| 5.8% | K-BB% | 10.2% |
| 50.4% | GB% | 39.5% |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 93 | Location+ | 105 |
Tanner McGrath’s Marlins vs Angels Preview
It’s hard to get behind the Fish on Friday, but this is an excellent buy-low, sell-high wager.
The Marlins aren’t a good baseball team, but they aren’t this bad.
They’ve been incredibly unlucky at the plate (.308 wOBA, .323 xwOBA), and positive regression has started to hit in recent weeks (98 wRC+ over the past two weeks), partially because Kyle Stowers continues to hit like an All-Star (163 wRC+ in May).
Former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara has been terrible (7.99 ERA, -0.2 fWAR), but his underlying metrics aren’t awful (4.60 xFIP, 108 Stuff+, 4.09 botERA). Command is always the last thing to come back following Tommy John surgery, and that’s been the case with Sandy (career-high 12.3% walk rate). But the stuff is there, and I’m hopeful he’ll look more like his old self shortly.
Meanwhile, the Angels are way too hot.
They’ve won seven straight, all on the road, including a sweep of the big, bad Dodgers. While they’re a decent team with some interesting offensive talent, I don’t expect them to keep up this torrid pace (126 wRC+ over the past two weeks behind a .300 BABIP).
Starting pitcher Yusei Kikuchi is overvalued (3.50 ERA, 4.72 xERA, 4.41 FIP, 4.42 xFIP). He’s lost a tick of velocity on his fastball, and his stuff numbers have dropped nearly 10 points year over year (95 Stuff+ across his arsenal). As a result, he’s seen a drastic decrease in his swing-and-miss stuff and begun nibbling the edges, more than halving his strikeout minus walk rate year over year (10.2%).
It’s not fun to back a mediocre Marlins team against baseball’s hottest squad, but buying low on the Fish and selling high on the Halos is smart.
It’s also worth mentioning that this game activated one of our PRO Systems: Road Dogs Interleague. Oddsmakers have historically undervalued interleague road dogs.
Pick: Marlins ML (+125, BetMGM)
