The New York Mets host the Miami Marlins on August 30, 2025. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
Find my MLB betting preview and Marlins vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Marlins vs Mets Prediction
- Marlins vs Mets pick: Under 7.5 (+100)
My Marlins vs Mets best bet is Under 7.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Mets Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -140 | 7.5 -120o / 100u | +155 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +115 | 7.5 -120o / 100u | -190 |
Marlins vs Mets Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Edward Cabrera (MIA) | Stat | LHP David Peterson (NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-7 | W-L | 8-5 |
| 2.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.1 |
| 3.32 / 3.81 | ERA / xERA | 3.18 / 4.14 |
| 3.39 / 3.53 | FIP / xFIP | 3.32 / 3.59 |
| 1.18 | WHIP | 1.25 |
| 18.2 | K-BB% | 12.8 |
| 46.2 | GB% | 56.0 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 89 |
| 102 | Location+ | 102 |
Marlins vs Mets Preview
Edward Cabrera was lights out in his previous start against the Braves, pitching seven scoreless innings and allowing just one hit, while striking out 10 batters.
In his past seven outings, the Marlins starter has a 2.76 ERA, and his splits are better on day games, with a 2.61 ERA.
On the other side, Mets starter David Peterson also has excellent splits for today. At home, the lefty has a 2.91 ERA, and in day games, it lowers to 2.83.
Peterson is coming off two solid starts against the Nationals and Braves. He already faced the Marlins in his first game of the season, giving up only two runs and five hits in six complete innings.
Miami is one of the worst lineups versus southpaws in the majors, ranking 27th in wRC+ against them with a 76 rating.
Our Bet Labs system recommends the under today.
The Silent Sharp Unders system targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close.
These are games featuring competent, winning teams with recent success, stable weather conditions, and closing totals in a common scoring range.
Despite both teams showing strength, the market subtly favors the under, likely due to matchup specifics, pitching, or pace factors.
By following this soft signal ā when the public eye is more focused on win streaks and not totals ā this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.
Pick: Under 7.5 (+100, BetMGM)
Marlins vs Mets Betting Trends
