The Chicago White Sox host the Minnesota Twins on May 28, 2026. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The White Sox are favored by -142 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Twins are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs White Sox Prediction
- Twins vs White Sox Pick: White Sox ML (-130 or Better)
My Twins vs White Sox best bet is on Chicago to win. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Twins vs White Sox Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -176 | 7.5 -120o / -102u | +120 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 7.5 -120o / -102u | -142 |
- Twins vs White Sox moneyline: Twins +120, White Sox -142
- Twins vs White Sox over/under: 7.5 (-120 / -102)
- Twins vs White Sox spread: White Sox -1.5 (+146), Twins +1.5 (-176)
Twins vs White Sox Probable Pitchers
| Kendry Rojas (LHP, MIN) | Stat | Davis Martin (RHP, CWS) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | W-L | 7-1 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.3 |
| 1.26 / 3.66 | ERA / xERA | 2.04 / 3.55 |
| 3.42 / 4.69 | FIP / xFIP | 2.29 / 2.84 |
| 6.6% | K-BB% | 22.4% |
| 42.9% | GB% | 44.3% |
| .306 | BABIP | .306 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 83 | Location+ | 101 |
Twins vs White Sox MLB Betting Preview
Taj Bradley was just pushed back a day, and the Twins have not yet named a replacement for this game. (Update just before posting: it's Kendrys Rojas with most projections in the low fours…as a reliever. He has a 45 Future Value grade via Fangraphs. Everything below still stands.)
Davis Martin was already pushed back a day, which led to the White Sox ending up in this spot.
Very quickly, although you won’t be able to read it as quickly, I think the current -120 being floated by books is a mistake.
They may not have realized Bradley isn’t pitching or that Martin is pitching instead of Fedde here.
If you follow me in the app, first of all, I’m sorry for how the last week has transpired, and secondly, I posted this information right away so readers could get on it before this is posted.
The Twins certainly don’t have anyone better than Bradley to replace him with, and I already saw minor value on that line even with him projected. (Rojas is not better than Bradley has been this year.)
Martin allowed three runs in five innings in his first start of the season and then came one out short of eight straight quality starts until his last start, where he gave up a season-high four runs.
Call me unconcerned because he still struck out seven (15.3% SwStr) with two walks and not a single barrel. He did have a 58.8% HardHit, though, also his worst since his first start.
Martin has a 27.9% K-BB with a 15.2% SwStr over his last six starts, which may suggest a breakout, but pitch modeling begs to differ. He has a 4.08 Bot ERA and 94 Pitching+ over this span that are only slightly better than his season and 2025 rates. PitchingBot only has him throwing one below-average pitch this year (slider 15.6% 43 PB).
Martin is now throwing six different pitches between 11.6% and 25.5% of the time, including all three fastballs.
Things are not as good as his 2.04 ERA (84.1 LOB%, 25% HR/Barrel), but his worst non-pitch modeling estimator is a 3.53 xERA with contact neutral indicators below three.
Twins vs White Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
I give the Sox very slight offensive and defensive edges here, which could change with actual lineups, but over the last month, they also have bullpen estimators more than three-quarters of a run better than the Twins, who are second worst in the majors (4.41 FIP/5.01 xFIP/4.61 SIERA) and will likely be deep into that pen on Thursday.
I'd recommend the White Sox up to around -130, though I don't know what the Twins have planned; that announcement could make me comfortable going even higher.
Pick: White Sox ML (-130 or Better)
