Dodgers vs. Padres MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Model Projections Suggest Fading The Public (August 26)

Dodgers vs. Padres MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Model Projections Suggest Fading The Public (August 26) article feature image
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Matt Thomas/San Diego Padres/Getty Images. Pictured: San Diego Padres starting pitcher Yu Darvish.

  • MLB's new great rivalry takes center stage again on Thursday night when the Padres host the Dodgers.
  • Yu Darvish is set to return to the mound for San Diego, which fell in an incredible extra-innings game last night.
  • Sharps are attacking the moneyline, as Michael Walton lays out below.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds

Dodgers Odds -136
Padres Odds +116
Over/Under 7.5 (-110/+100)
Time 9:10 p.m. ET
TV BSSD

*MLB Odds as of Thursday afternoon ET.


The Dodgers and Padres are coming off of an extremely entertaining 16-inning matchup. On Wednesday night, the Dodgers used an AJ Pollock home run to pull off their 5-3 win, sending the Padres to their third straight loss.

San Diego is still trying to secure an NL Wild Card spot as their unexpected slide down the standings continue. The Padres have lost 8 of their last 10 games

The Dodgers, on the other hand, have looked exactly like a team tuning up for a World Series push. Los Angeles has won 9 of its last 10 games, and has reason to be confident in getting three straight wins with Scherzer on the mound Thursday.

Scherzer has won his first four starts for the Dodgers. In L.A.’s 4-3 win over the Mets on August 21, Scherzer pitched five innings, giving up five hits and one earned run.

Despite the Dodgers’ obvious position as a strong favorite, our latest MLB PRO Report suggests supporting the Padres on Thursday night. San Diego will have Yu Darvish taking the mound.

Darvish is 7-7 with a 3.49 ERA, but he has a slightly more impressive 3.11 ERA at home.

In a matchup that has just as good of a chance to be a pitcher’s duel or high-scoring slugfest, sharp action is showing us that backing the underdog is the way to go despite the public backing the favored Dodgers.

MLB Picks: Dodgers vs. Padres

Sharp Action

The moneyline for Thursday’s Dodgers-Padres matchup opened up at Padres +105.

It peaked at a high of +130 around 8:00 a.m. ET before settling at a consensus of +119, as tracked by two Action Labs Bet Signals.

Model Projections

Our MLB power ratings make the moneyline Padres -103.

Top Experts

One of The Action Network’s top MLB experts is betting on San Diego.

PRO Report Pick: Padres +116 (+120 at BetMGM)

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