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For MLB's final Wild Card game, I'm bringing you three bangers for Phillies vs. Braves Game 3 on Thursday.
Read on for my 3 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:00 PM | |
| 8:00 PM | |
| 8:00 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Pick
I don't know what the books are doing with their pricing for the Braves tonight, but I'm going to take advantage.
Aaron Nola isn't the same pitcher he used to be, as he's allowed a high 1.95 HR/9 to righties this season and a 1.87 HR/9 to lefties.
These odds are too high. I have the true odds for Matt Olson at around +400
Pick: Matt Olson Home Run
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Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Pick
Another option against Nola is Ronald Acuna Jr.
The Phillies starter is a matchup that is well above average for power from both sides of the plate, and the Braves hitters are priced like they are facing an above-average pitcher.
I have the true odds for Acuna at around +500.
Pick: Ronald Acuna Jr. Home Run
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Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Pick
My last pick in this matchup is Drake Baldwin.
I get that Nola may pitch only four to five innings, but even with that in mind, these odds are too high.
I have the true odds for the Braves DH at around +550.
Pick: Drake Baldwin Home Run
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