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MLB Home Run Picks, Dinger Tuesday Predictions: 4 HR Best Bets for Mike Trout, Trent Grishman, More

MLB Home Run Picks, Dinger Tuesday Predictions: 4 HR Best Bets for Mike Trout, Trent Grishman, More article feature image
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Pictured: Chicago Cubs right fielder Seiya Suzuki. (Credit: Denis Poroy-Imagn Images)

Welcome to another Dinger Tuesday.

I dove into today's MLB slate and came through with 4 home run picks for today, including picks for Mike Trout in Angels vs. White Sox, Trent Grishman in Yankees vs. Rangers, Seiya Suzuki in Cubs vs. Padres and many more.

Let's dive into my MLB home run picks and Major League Baseball predictions for the games on Tuesday, April 28.


MLB Home Runs Picks, Predictions

The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Houston Astros LogoBaltimore Orioles Logo
6:35 PM
Los Angeles Angels LogoChicago White Sox Logo
7:40 PM
New York Yankees LogoTexas Rangers Logo
8:05 PM
Chicago Cubs LogoSan Diego Padres Logo
9:40 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.
Playbook

Astros vs Orioles Home Run Pick

Houston Astros Logo
Tuesday, April 28
6:35 PM ET
MLB.TV
Baltimore Orioles Logo
Pete Alonso 1+ Home Runs (+502)
DraftKings  Logo

Big meat Pete hasn't been off to a great start to his Baltimore career, but the underlying fly-ball and hard-contact numbers are still good.

He gets a mediocre matchup vs. Kai-Wei Teng, who will likely only go a few innings, which should make it mostly a bullpen game.

Even in a below-average spot, I have the true odds here around +450, making this a good bet.

Pick: Pete Alonso 1+ Home Runs (+502)



Angels vs White Sox Home Run Pick

Los Angeles Angels Logo
Tuesday, April 28
7:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Chicago White Sox Logo
Mike Trout 1+ Home Runs (+390)
Fanatics Sportsbook Logo

The weather isn't going to be great, but these odds are still too high.

Trout has been fantastic this season (near the league lead in HRs), and his barrel rate is the best of his career.

Opposing pitcher Davis Martin has been good this season, but he's due for some negative regression and grades out as an above-average matchup for HRs.

I have the true odds here around +325, making this a great bet.

Pick: Mike Trout 1+ Home Runs (+390)



Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Pick

New York Yankees Logo
Tuesday, April 28
8:05 PM ET
MLB.TV
Texas Rangers Logo
Trent Grisham 1+ Home Runs (+425)
BetMGM Logo

Grisham hasn't been hitting a ton of bombs this season, but the power is there, and this isn't a bad spot.

Jacob deGrom is still a great pitcher, but he has been hit hard by lefties, allowing a 1.40 HR/9 since the beginning of last season.

This ballpark is a downgrade for Grisham, but I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.

Pick: Trent Grisham 1+ Home Runs (+425)



Cubs vs Padres Home Run Pick

Chicago Cubs Logo
Tuesday, April 28
9:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
San Diego Padres Logo
Seiya Suzuki 1+ Home Runs (+540)
DraftKings  Logo

I know that the weather is colder than usual in San Diego, but there is no way that these odds should be this high.

Opposing pitcher Walker Buehler has been a complete gas can for righty power over the past 2 seasons, allowing more than a 2.00 HR/9.

This ballpark isn't great for power, but Suzuki has been in good form recently after a slow start.

I have the true odds here around +450, making this a great bet.

Pick: Seiya Suzuki 1+ Home Runs (+540)



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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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