I've got three MLB home run picks today, including bangers for Rays vs Orioles, Cubs vs Mariners, and Braves vs Brewers on August 23.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 1:35 p.m | |
| 4:10p.m | |
| 7:10p.m | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Rays vs. Orioles Home Run Pick
Junior Caminero
Home Run +350
Shane Baz has been great at suppressing power this season, but he's due for some heavy regression and grades out as a slightly below-average matchup for righty power.
The weather over in Baltimore is great for hitting, with temps in the low 80s and the wind blowing out at 12 MPH to right field.
Junior Caminero is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and I have the true odds around +300.
Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run +350
Cubs vs. Mariners Homer Prop
Alex Bregman
Home Run +950
Alex Bregman has been on an ungodly tear since the All-Star Break, having hit 10 bombs, and I have no idea why he's priced like this.
Bryce Miller has been hammered by righty power this season, allowing a 1.8 HR/9.
The ballpark isn't great for power, but I don't care given the odds. I have the true odds on Bregman under +700.
Pick: Alex Bregman Home Run +950
Braves vs. Brewers HR Pick
Ronald Acuna Jr.
Home Run +575
Shane Drohan has been an average matchup for righty power, allowing a 1.17 HR/9. He grades out as a slightly above-average matchup for righty power.
The ballpark is an upgrade for righty power, and Acuna is due for some positive regression when it comes to HRs.
I have the true odds on Acuna around +500.
Pick: Ronald Acuna Jr. Home Run +575
