Happy Dinger Tuesday!
I've got some bangers.
Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:35 PM | |
  | 7:07 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 8:10 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
White Sox vs Orioles
Vargas has been one of the best HR hitters in the league this season, and this spot is great.
We don't have a huge sample size of Trey Gibson in the majors, but he's been a plus matchup for righty power so far and grades out as an average matchup.
The weather should be great for hitting, with temps in the high-80s and wind blowing out to left field at 10 mph.
I have the true odds here around +370, making this a great bet.
Pick: Miguel Vargas Home Run
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Mets vs Blue Jays
Soto gets a good spot, and these odds aren't low enough.
This ballpark is a big upgrade for Soto, and although Kevin Gausman has been good at suppressing lefty power this season, he's due for some negative regression and grades out as a plus matchup for lefty power.
I have the true odds here around +260, making this a great bet.
Pick: Juan Soto Home Run
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Rays vs Royals
Caglianone has finally gotten the positive regression we've been waiting for over the past month, and this is a great spot.
The weather at Kauffman Stadium should be great for hitting, with temps in the low-90s and wind blowing out to left field.
I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.
Pick: Jac Caglianone Home Run
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Twins vs Astros
This is a great spot, and these odds are far too high.
Lewis started the season off rough, but he figured things out in his stint in Triple-A, where he hammered the ball.
He's kept things going since being called back up, and Mike Burrows has been a plus matchup for righty power in his career (1.39 HR/9).
I have the true odds here around +400, making this a great bet.
Pick: Royce Lewis Home Run
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Dodgers vs Athletics
This is a great spot for the Dodgers righties, and they aren't priced nearly high enough.
Jeffrey Springs is a gas can for righty power, allowing a massive 2.38 HR/9 this season.
This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather should be great for hitting, with temps in the mid-80s and wind blowing out at 9 mph.
I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.
Pick: Mookie Betts Home Run
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