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MLB Home Run Props: Expert HR Picks for Monday, March 30

MLB Home Run Props: Expert HR Picks for Monday, March 30 article feature image
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Brad Penner-Imagn Images. Pictured: Juan Soto.

MLB season is in full swing, and a new day means a new slate of 15 games.

I've got three MLB Home Run Props and home-run picks, including picks for Angels vs Cubs, Rockies vs Blue Jays, and Mets vs Cardinals.


MLB Home Run Props: Today's Expert HR Picks

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Rockies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop

Rockies Logo
Monday, Mar 30
7:07 p.m. ET
COLR
Blue Jays Logo
Kazuma Okamoto Home Run +800
bet365 Logo

Okamoto is a solid power bat, and these odds are far too high.

Opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano is an above-average matchup for righty power, as he allowed a high 1.61 HR/9 last season.

This ballpark is good, and I have the true odds here around +450.

Even if you don't have access to bet365, this is a great bet all the way down to +500.

Pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+800 or Better)


Angels vs Cubs Expert HR Pick

Angels Logo
Monday, Mar 30
7:40 p.m. ET
FDSW
Cubs Logo
Mike Trout Home Run +300
FanDuel Logo

I have no idea what is going on in this game, but no one is really priced how they should be.

The wind is going to be blowing out in Wrigley, and there should be a massive increase to HRs.

Trout has been off to a great start to the season, and even though Edward Cabrera is a slightly below-average matchup for righty power, the weather more than makes up for it.

I have the true odds here around +260, making this a great bet.

Pick: Mike Trout Home Run (+300 or Better)


Mets vs Cardinals HR Pick

Mets Logo
Monday, Mar 30
7:45 p.m. ET
CARD
Cardinals Logo
Juan Soto Home Run +425
bet365 Logo

The weather should be good in St. Louis, with temps in the 80s and wind blowing out, and these odds are far too high.

We don't have much of a sample size on opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy in the majors, but he grades out as an above-average matchup for lefty power.

I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.

Pick: Juan Soto Home Run (+425 or Better)

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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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