For Friday, July 25, I'm on four MLB home run props: George Springer (against the Tigers), Fernando Tatis Jr. (against the Cardinals), Nick Kurtz (against the Astros) and James Wood (against the Twins).
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR picks for Friday.
Editor's Note: A home run parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Friday, July 25
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:10 p.m. | |
| 7:15 p.m. | |
| 8:10 p.m. | |
| 8:10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for July 25
George Springer (+475)
at Tigers (SP: RHP Keider Montero)
Tigers pitching has been in rough shape recently and Keider Montero is likely going to struggle today.
While Montero has been better against right-handed hitters this season in a small sample size, he's been hit hard by righties in his career (1.59 HR/9).
Blue Jays star outfielder Springer has been having a decent year and his underlying numbers have been the best they've been in years.
He's been good over the last month with six homers and I have the true odd on him around +400.
Fernando Tatis Jr. (+400)
at Cardinals (SP: RHP Miles Mikolas)
Fernando Tatis Jr. (and Manny Machado) are priced a bit too high given the spot.
Cardinals right-hander Miles Mikolas has been horrible this season, with an ERA over 5.00 and a 1.50 HR/9 to righties. The weather in St. Louis should be great for hitting, with temps in the low 90s and high humidity during game time.
I have the true odds here around +325, making this a great bet.
James Wood (+375)
at Twins (SP: RHP Zebby Matthews)
Nationals All-Star James Wood has been cold recently, but he's got a ton of pop and the spot tonight is a good one.
Wood gets a matchup against the Twins' Zebby Matthews, who has been crushed by lefty power in his career (2.87 HR/9).
The weather in Minnesota is solid for hitting with temps in the mid 80s and high humidity.
I have the true odds on Wood around +300.
Nick Kurtz (+300)
at Astros (SP: RHP Ryan Gusto)
These odds for Athletics slugger Nick Kurtz are a bit low, but the spot is great.
Astros right-hander Ryan Gusto has been absolutely hammered by lefty power this season, giving up 2.12 HR/9. He's due for some positive regression, but he still grades out as a great matchup for lefty power.
Kurtz has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the last few months, and I have the true odds here around +250.
