I'm on one game in particular — Yankees vs. Athletics — for my MLB home run prop picks on Sunday, May 11.
With favorable temperatures and a hitter-friendly venue at Sutter Health Park, I've found value on Aaron Judge, Ben Rice, Trent Grisham, Brent Rooker and Shea Langeliers.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Sunday.
Note: Please bet responsibly. A parlay of five players to hit a home run in one game is not advisable — thus, the long-shot odds. These are recommended as straight bets that are explained in detail below.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Sunday, May 11
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:05 p.m. | |
| 4:05 p.m. | |
| 4:05 p.m. | |
| 4:05 p.m. | |
| 4:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Yankees Home Run Props
Aaron Judge (+205; bet365)
This is the first time all year I've bet on Judge this year, but the price is too good given the spot.
The winds are blowing out heavily in one of the most wind-receptive and batter-friendly ballparks in the league, and we are getting Judge at over +200.
Ben Rice (+425; bet365)
Rice has been hammering the ball all season long. Luis Severino isn't a bad pitcher, but he's giving up a lot of hard contact to lefties and has historically been a plus matchup for lefty power.
I have the true odds around +350.
Trent Grisham (+400; bet365)
Severino has been good this season at limiting power, but he has a 40% hard-hit rate vs. lefties and has historically been a plus matchup for lefty power. I have the true odds on Grisham around +325.
Athletics Home Run Props
Brent Rooker (+400; bet365)
I love this spot for the Athletics' right-handed hitters.
Mark Leiter should be opening the game for the Yankees, but Ryan Yarbrough should be coming in after. The latter is a well-above-average matchup for righty power.
Rooker is one of the best HR hitters in the league and is absolutely not priced like it.
I have the true odds around +300.
Shea Langeliers (+450; bet365)
Langeliers is a great power bat and isn't priced nearly as high as he should be. I have the true odds around +350.
