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If elite baseball teams perform best in October, perhaps the same can be said of PRO home run projections.
PRO betting models started the MLB postseason last Tuesday by netting +3.5 units on home run picks for every team.
On Saturday, the data-driven home run predictor piled up 6 more simply by playing the top five edges.
We're back with more high-level home run predictions today — two in each game played (Braves vs. Dodgers, Brewers vs. Padres), including a +4274 parlay option.
Below, I'll profile all four hitters with excellent value to clear the fences Tuesday, plus the ideal parlay ticket readers can easily click and tail.
Action PRO Projections Best Home Run Picks Tuesday, +4274 Parlay
It's Tuesday, so PRO Projections are unlocked! Let's get busy.
Best Dodgers vs. Braves Home Run Picks
Dodgers: Teoscar Hernandez +710 (FanDuel)
Hernandez earns the highest grade possible in today's Dodgers vs. Braves Game 3. At +710 and a 0.16 home run rate today, bettors can lock up a solid long-term edge. Hernandez only cranked 16 during the regular season, but he tied for the most of any month in September (4) and already homered in the series opener.
Dodgers: Mookie Betts +630 (FanDuel)
Another Dodger with strong homer potential today is Mookie Betts. He earns a healthy 0.17 homer rate today, producing a positive edge when grabbing odds better than 6-1. Betts has no problem hitting away from home: 11 of his 23 homers this season are on the road.
Best Brewers vs. Padres Home Run Picks
Brewers: Jackson Chourio +440 (FanDuel)
Chourio is the top edge to hit a home run today across both games.
The star 22-year-old carries an excellent 0.24 homer rate at Petco Park, alongside odds of +440. According to PRO, fair odds should be closer to +316. Chourio bashed 25 homers during the regular season despite missing 35 games.
Brewers: William Contreras +630 (FanDuel)
Finally, Brewers catcher William Contreras cracks the list at +630, with a homer expectation of 0.17.
For those interested in stacking the best home run option in both games into a parlay, combining Hernandez and Chourio forms a +4274 ticket at FanDuel.
By contrast, PRO models highlighted some of the worst picks to make Tuesday. Simply put, you're paying a premium betting these hitters after factoring in probability and price.
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): Ohtani is +440, with the model expecting just 0.17. It's a -2% edge, so pass on this pick.
Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Also pass on Mitchell, whose odds are +710. PRO's fair price is +900, with a forecast of just 0.10 homers.
Check out all the home run projections for Tuesday MLB here.
An Action PRO subscription unlocks all premium betting tools. But for the MLB postseason, home run projections will be free every Tuesday! Check out PRO for model projections across various sports, expert predictions, and all the resources you need to make smarter picks.
