Monday MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Cardinals-Diamondbacks, Two Other Totals


Robbie Ray. Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Jul 02, 2018, 09:50 AM EDT

Contrarian dogs are finally starting to bark for wiseguy baseball bettors. After posting their worst April since 2005 (-21.77 units), dogs getting 30% or less bets bounced back to produce +5.68 units in May and +12.95 units in June. The slow but steady regression is a great sign for sharps as they flip the calendar to July and enter the Dog Days of Summer.

After analyzing Monday’s 10-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:05 p.m., 7:10 p.m. and 9:40 p.m. ET.

Data as of 2:30 p.m. ET. All bets risking one unit, not to win one unit. All total plays Listed Pitcher, not Action.

Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals Over 7.5

7:05 p.m. ET

Public bettors see two elite starting pitchers toeing the rubber (Rick Porcello vs Max Scherzer) and don’t know which way to go with the total. But sharps have taken a clear side. Currently 55% of bets are on the Over, but it accounts for 93% of dollars. This indicates moderate public support and heavy, heavy wiseguy support.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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