We have a 16-game slate on Sunday, thanks to a Rockies vs. Mets doubleheader. We start with Red Sox vs. Orioles and Phillies vs. Braves at 1:35 p.m. ET and close with Angels vs. Royals on Sunday Night Baseball at 7:20 p.m. ET.
Our experts have analyzed the matchups and found great options for Sunday.
Below are five expert MLB picks and predictions for today's slate of games.
MLB Picks, Predictions Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:35 PM | |
  | 1:35 PM | |
  | 1:40 PM | |
  | 4:10 PM | |
  | 7:20 PM | |
 | All Day | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Phillies vs Braves Spread Prediction
By Sean Paul
The Phillies saw the Mets go on a 12-game losing streak and said, "Hold my beer". They also had a 10+ game losing streak and will try to get their season on track.
Long-time Phillie, Aaron Nola, will draw the start in the series finale. He enters this outing with a bloated 5.06 ERA, but his xERA is 4.69, and FIP is 4.09. Brighter days could be ahead for Nola.
Nola is punching out 9.79 batters per nine, his best since 2022. Conversely, his BABIP is a wholly unsustainable .347, which would be the worst of his career by a clear margin.
The issue for Philadelphia is a lack of offense. It ranks 25th in MLB with an 85 wRC+, which seems inconceivable for a lineup with as many high-priced players as the Phillies have.
The Braves have a commanding six-game lead for first place in a disappointing NL East.
Chris Sale is off to another strong start to what should be an All-Star campaign. The now 37-year-old enters with a 2.79 ERA with 3.14 xERA and a 4.41 FIP. The elevated FIP is worrisome, largely tied to Sale's 1.55 HR/9, the highest mark of his career. You can live with homers if they're of the solo variety, though. That's the only run the Phillies scored against Sale last Sunday night.
Atlanta is an explosive offensive team, ranking third with a 121 wRC+. Good luck pitching to this Braves offense. Once the game gets to the eighth and ninth innings, it's over. Adding Robert Suarez to Raisel Iglesias in the back-end of the bullpen was a wise move by Atlanta's front office.
I'm rolling with the Braves laying 1.5 at plus money against a reeling Phillies bunch. All Sale has to do is contain Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper, and he'll be fine. The lefty-lefty matchup could be tough on them.
Read Paul's full Phillies-Braves breakdown here:
Pick: Braves -1.5 (+114 or Better)
| | | | | |
Red Sox vs Orioles Over/Under Projection
Our own Sean Zerillo projects an edge on the total for this matchup
While the consensus line sits at 7.5, Zerillo projects around 6.79 runs for this game, representing a 4.7% edge against the market, making the under the best choice with a B- grade on our system.
Of course, Boston was bound to wake up — the same way Garrett Crochet was supposed to finally get on track — and both things happened on Saturday.
Those 17 runs scored yesterday, however, barely helped the Red Sox leave rock bottom and are now next-to-last in wRC+ this season with 84.
Now, they'll face veteran Kyle Bradish, and their offense will probably settle after that sudden burst.
On the other side, the Orioles bats suffer against left-handed pitchers, which is what they'll have in store this afternoon, with Connelly Early taking the mound for Boston.
Baltimore ranks 10th in wRC+ overall, but drops down to the 18th spot against LHP.
The weather will also play a factor. It is expected to be a chilly 56°F at first pitch, with an 8 mph wind blowing in from center field, which is a nightmare for fly-ball hitters and can turn possible home runs into outs.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-105 or Better)
| | | | | |
Rockies vs Mets Prop Pick
By Action PRO
PRO projects Mickey Moniak for 0.22 home runs in the Rockies' first game of the day against the Mets, giving us a 6% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 0.5, which is good enough to mark the Over with a C+ grade in our system.
The Colorado outfielder has already hit eight home runs this season, and three of them were in the last week.
Moniak is absolutely destroying right-handed pitchers with .367, seven HRS, 14 RBI, .800 slugging and 1.191 OPS, and he will face righty Nolan McLean in Game 1 today.
Although the Mets pitcher has had a great start to the season, his numbers at home aren't as impressive.
McLean has a 3.50 ERA at Citi Field so far, and the two homers he has given up this season were hit there.
At a great value, let's back Moniak today to hit a home run against New York.
Pick: Mickey Moniak Home Run (+520 or Better)
| | | | | |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Top Player Projected Edge
By Action PRO
PRO projects Padres 2B Jake Cronenworth for 0.69 runs batted-in in their game against the Diamondbacks today, giving us a solid 12.8% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 0.5, which is good enough to mark the Over with a B+ grade in our system.
San Diego will go against Ryne Nelson, who has a 6.97 ERA and is coming off a horrible and extremely brief outing against the Blue Jays, allowing eight earned runs in just 1/3 of an inning.
Cronenworth just had his best week at the plate this season, with a .675 OPS, and although he isn't a run producer, if the Padres score a bunch of runs today, he could get involved.
At plus money, let's back him tonight against Nelson and the Diamondbacks.
Pick: Jake Cronenworth (+115 or Better)
| | | | | |
Angels vs Royals Best Bet
I'm going with Under 4.5 in the first five innings here. I'm zeroing in on the first half of the game because I don't trust the Angels' bullpen.
This is a bet on Reid Detmers (3.50 SIERA) keeping the Royals' offense at bay. It helps that Kansas City is much worse against lefties, as highlighted by their 26th-ranked wRC+ against them.
It's also a bet on Seth Lugo while he's in top form. He hasn't given up more than two earned runs in a start all year long.
The Angels have a 73 wRC+ (28th) in the last seven days, so it's a good spot for another quality start from Lugo.
Read Ammirante's full Angels-Royals preview here:
Pick: F5 Under 4.5 (-118 or Better)
| | | | | |
Sean Zerillo's Full Action App Card Today
Need more picks for Sunday's action on the diamond? It's always wise to see what our guy Zerillo is betting on!
If you haven't already, make sure you download the Action Network app and sign up for an Action PRO subscription:
