MLB Parlay Today | Odds, Expert Picks for Orioles vs Yankees (Tuesday, July 4)
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Boone
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+102 | 8.5 -110 / -110 | -1.5 +158 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| -120 | 8.5 -110 / -110 | +1.5 -192 |
Editor's Note: Tuesday's Orioles vs. Yankees game has been delayed to an expected start time of 1:40 p.m. ET.
The New York Yankees won a spirited 6-3 ballgame in the Bronx on Monday night. The crowd was alive at Yankee Stadium as former Yankees outfielder Aaron Hicks returned with his current team to a chorus of boos.
Those boos turned to cheers late in the game when Harrison Bader hit a go-ahead three-run home run for New York. While the Yankees came out on top Monday, the Orioles are still ahead of them in the standings and without Aaron Judge for New York, Baltimore is probably the better team on paper.
The Yankees are favored on Tuesday, though, so let's see if we can build a Fourth of July same-game parlay to take advantage of this.
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The Parlay (+586):
- Kyle Gibson Over 4.5 Strikeouts
- Clarke Schmidt Over 4.5 Strikeouts
- Orioles Moneyline
Same-Game Parlay – Orioles vs Yankees
Kyle Gibson Over 4.5 Strikeouts
Since Judge has been out of the Yankees' lineup, this offense has struggled. Even when he was healthy, they were still striking out quite a bit.
Tyler Wells only managed four strikeouts in his start against them Monday, but I think Gibson can hit this over. New York's projected lineup has a combined 23% strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching this season. Six hitters in the Yankees' projected lineup have at least a 23.8% strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching this season.
Gibson has gone over this number in three of his last five starts.
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Clarke Schmidt Over 4.5 Strikeouts
This is a low total for Schmidt and we're getting plus money value on it. Schmidt has been in a bit of a strikeout drought recently. He hasn't gone over this total in five consecutive starts and his strikeout percentage is down to 21% on the season.
I think he turns it around here. Baltimore's projected lineup has a combined 22% strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching this season. Six Orioles in the projected lineup have at least a 23% strikeout percentage against right-handed pitching this season.
Orioles Moneyline
The Orioles are clearly the better team without Judge playing for the Yankees, so let's take the value on them to win the game here. It's a bounce-back spot for a good team after dropping the first game of the series.
Sure, it's the Fourth of July and the home crowd at Yankee Stadium will be loud once again. Still, Baltimore has the better lineup with a lot of left-handed hitters in a ballpark that favors that type of offense.
The Orioles' bullpen is also able to stack up with the Yankees on their best days. Baltimore didn't have to use its best reliever, Felix Bautista, on Monday whereas the Yankees had to use their relief ace in Clay Holmes.
I like the Orioles to get back in the win column to cap off the same-game parlay.
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