Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Sept. 8: Back Houser or Lester in Brewers-Cubs?
Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jon Lester.
- Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
- He analyzes Sunday's slate of games, including how to bet the Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers (2:10 p.m. ET).
- Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.
The Cubs (76-65) come into Sunday three games clear of the Brewers (73-68) for second place in the NL Wild Card – with just the Diamondbacks (75-67) situated between them.
Arizona has one of the easier schedules for the next three weeks, while three teams in a deep NL Central are beating up on one another; potentially leaving that division with only one playoff spot if the Diamondbacks and Nationals both get in.
Can the Cubs extend their lead over Milwaukee on Sunday, or will a Brewers pitcher help edge them closer to contention?
Recapping Yesterday’s MLB Model
At writing yesterday, the model would have gone 2-1 against full-game moneylines and 0-1 against moneylines for the first five innings (F5).
My plays went 2-4, and I finished down 0.26 units for the day.