Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Sept. 8: Back Houser or Lester in Brewers-Cubs?

Sep 08, 2019 12:11 PM EDT
Credit:

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jon Lester.

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Sunday's slate of games, including how to bet the Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers (2:10 p.m. ET).
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

The Cubs (76-65) come into Sunday three games clear of the Brewers (73-68) for second place in the NL Wild Card – with just the Diamondbacks (75-67) situated between them.

Arizona has one of the easier schedules for the next three weeks, while three teams in a deep NL Central are beating up on one another; potentially leaving that division with only one playoff spot if the Diamondbacks and Nationals both get in.

Can the Cubs extend their lead over Milwaukee on Sunday, or will a Brewers pitcher help edge them closer to contention?

Recapping Yesterday’s MLB Model

At writing yesterday, the model would have gone 2-1 against full-game moneylines and 0-1 against moneylines for the first five innings (F5).

My plays went 2-4, and I finished down 0.26 units for the day.

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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