Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Oakland Athletics starting pitcher Brett Anderson (30).
- Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and First 5 (F5) innings.
- He analyzes the full slate of games on May 26 with his model below and highlights Twins-White Sox (2:10 p.m. ET) and Red Sox-Astros (2:10 p.m. ET) as potential edges.
- Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.
On Saturday, the New York Mets won in walk-off fashion on a home run by backup catcher Tomas Nido in the 13th inning.
The post-game celebration might have been more epic than the home run, though. Nido’s teammates got him in three different ways:
That Gatorade-soaked popcorn will be awfully fun for the field staff to clean up.
Anyway, it’s Sunday, and we’ve got a full day of baseball ahead. So grab a seat, and let’s get to it:
Recapping Yesterday’s MLB Model
At writing yesterday, the model would have gone 1-3 against full-game moneylines and 0-2 against moneylines for the first five innings (F5).
My tracked plays went 6-5, and I was up 0.65 units for the day.
Saturday was a mixed day in terms of generating Closing Line Value (CLV).
I gained 14 cents on Atlanta’s F5 moneyline (-125 to -139) and a penny on the Rays (+116 to +115). The over in the Miami-Washington game also went up by one half run (from 8.5 to 9.0).
However, I lost 10 cents on the Pirates moneyline (+160 to +170), 9 cents on the Oakland spread (+145 to +154) and finished even with the Yankees moneyline (-155).
On Deck for Sunday, May 26
The model recommends two full-game moneylines and two moneylines for the first five innings (F5) on Sunday.