The San Diego Padres host the Detroit Tigers on March 28, 2026. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SDPA.
The Tigers are favored by -110 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Padres are -110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Tigers vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Tigers vs Padres Prediction
- Tigers vs Padres Pick: Kevin McGonigle Home Run (+625)
My Tigers vs Padres best bet is on Kevin McGonigle to hit a homer tonight. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Tigers vs Padres Odds
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 8 -110o /-110u | -110 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 8 -110o / -110u | -110 |
- Tigers vs Padres spread: Tigers -1.5 (+145), Padres +1.5 (-175)
- Tigers vs Padres over/under: 8 (-110o / -110u)
- Tigers vs Padres moneyline: Tigers -110, Padres -110
Tigers vs Padres Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Jack Flaherty (DET) | 2025 Stats | RHP Randy Vasquez (SD) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-15 | W-L | 6-7 |
| 2.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 4.64 / 3.97 | ERA / xERA | 3.84 / 5.37 |
| 3.85 / 3.69 | FIP / xFIP | 4.85 / 5.51 |
| 1.28 | WHIP | 1.32 |
| 18.9 | K-BB% | 4.6 |
| 36.7 | GB% | 40.1 |
| 102 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 102 | Location+ | 102 |
Tigers vs Padres Preview, Prediction
Tigers' rookie Kevin McGonigle has been absolutely incredible to start the season, and while he doesn't have a home run, he has been a few feet from having two, after being robbed last night and hitting off the top of the wall on Thursday.
The weather is around average for this game, and the matchup is a plus with the Padres starter Randy Vasquez grading out around a 1.4 HR/9 pitcher vs. lefties.
I have the true odds here around +500, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Kevin McGonigle Home Run (+625, BetMGM)
