MLB Picks, Trends, Weather for August 3: Situational Model Predictions

MLB Picks, Trends, Weather for August 3: Situational Model Predictions article feature image
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May 18, 2023; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; New York Yankees manager Aaron Boone (17) Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images

We're profiling five situational betting picks for August 3, hinging on weather, starting pitching and more.

Sunday's MLB schedule starts early; Astros vs. Red Sox gets underway at 11:35 a.m. ET, and we'll be covering that game from a PRO perspective separately for subscribers, too.

Below, these five MLB predictions are courtesy of PRO Systems and Bet Labs – our backtested betting models.

With the first pick going off at 1:40 p.m. ET, check out several data-driven MLB picks using PRO data.


MLB Picks, Trends for August 3: Situational Model Predictions

Let's start with the PRO System titled "Soft Starters with Neutral Winds," a proprietary model designed to capitalize on betting the under. It's active on four MLB picks for August 3!

This trend has won better than 59% since we started tracking. It focuses on games with softer home starting pitchers (low strikeout rates and moderate WHIP), in games three or four of a series.

Here are the four games that fit the trend for Sunday, based on pitching matchups and weather.

  • Yankees vs. Marlins Under
  • Twins