No CodeNeeded

MLB Playoff Odds, Picks Today | Same Game Parlay For Padres vs Mets Game 1 (Friday, October 7)

MLB Playoff Odds, Picks Today | Same Game Parlay For Padres vs Mets Game 1 (Friday, October 7) article feature image

Elsa/Getty Images. Pictured: Jeff McNeil

Padres vs. Mets Game 1 Odds

Padres Odds+132
Mets Odds-156
Time8:07 p.m. ET
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

After blowing a 10-game lead in the National League East division, the New York Mets find themselves at home against the San Diego Padres in the Wild Card Round.

The playoffs aren't the time to hold anything back, but the Mets will attempt to win this series in two games without Jacob deGrom, but in order to do that they they need to take Game 1.

Moving on in two games would give the Mets a better chance in the next round with deGrom starting the series, but we'll have to see how they do against the Padres first.

The Parlay (+450):

  • Mets Moneyline
  • Jeff McNeil 2+ Total Bases
  • Max Scherzer 6+ Strikeouts

Same-Game Parlay – Padres vs. Mets

Mets Moneyline

I like the Mets here. The Padres made their big move at the deadline to acquire Juan Soto in a trade with the Nationals, but any momentum they had from that was quickly dashed by shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr.'s performance enhancing drug suspension.

Without Tatis, the Padres don't have the offensive advantage against the Mets, who are also missing outfielder Starling Marte. With ace Max Scherzer on the mound for the Mets compared to Yu Darvish and his 4.23 xFIP for the Padres, I have to give the Mets the advantage here.

New York is also at home and the environment will favor them towards the end of the game, especially once Edwin Diaz comes in with trumpets playing.

Jeff McNeil 2+ Total Bases

McNeil can cover this in a few ways. He could get two singles or a double, obviously. I like his chances here in a big game at home against Darvish.

Darvish is a strikeout pitcher with a 25% K%, but McNeil is one of the tougher hitters in all of baseball to strikeout as he has a 10% K% against right-handed pitching this season.

McNeil only has a .152 ISO against right-handed pitching this year, but over the last three years he's had a .176 ISO against cutters and that's the pitch Darvish throws the most to left-handed hitters.

Max Scherzer 6+ Strikeouts

Scherzer is going to be psyched out of his mind for this game, his first in the playoffs with the Mets. I expect nothing but a vintage Scherzer performance as he continues to build a hall of fame resume.

The Padres aren't a strikeout-heavy team this year against right-handed pitching, but Scherzer is a big time strikeout pitcher with a 30% K rate this season.

Six is a good number in this spot as I expect the Mets to lean on Scherzer and push him deep into the game allowing him more opportunities for strikeouts.

To place your bets on this and many, many other markets across the world of sports, head over to FanDuel Sportsbook right now!

The must-have app for MLB bettors

The best MLB betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.