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MLB Playoffs Odds, Picks | NRFI Best Bets For Friday’s 4 Wild-Card Games (October 7)

MLB Playoffs Odds, Picks | NRFI Best Bets For Friday’s 4 Wild-Card Games (October 7) article feature image
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Christian Petersen/Getty Images. Pictured: Yu Darvish

2Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.


Rays vs.

Guardians 

Matchup S. McClanahan (Rays) vs. S. Bieber (Guardians)
First Pitch 12:07 p.m. ET

Shane McClanahan is 20-7 to the NRFI with a 6-3 road NRFI split. His most notable matchups today are Jose Ramirez and Amed Rosario, who are both 1-for-3 against him.

The Guardians will counter with veteran Shane Bieber, who is 26-5 to the NRFI with an impressive 11-2 home NRFI split. Bieber’s most notable matchups today are Isaac Paredes, who is 1-for-9, and Randy Arozarena, who is 0-for-5.

These two pitchers are by far the best NRFI options on today’s slate, it just so happens we are lucky enough to have them facing each other.

Pick: NRFI via FanDuel (-170)

Matchup Z. Wheeler (Phillies) vs. J. Quintana (Cardinals)
First Pitch 1:07  p.m. ET

Zack Wheeler will toe the rubber for the Phillies in their first playoff game in quite some time. Wheeler is 23-3 to the NRFI with an 11–2 road NRFI split.

Wheeler’s most notable matchups today are Paul Goldschmidt, who is just 5-for-23, and Tommy Edman is is 1-for-9.

The Cardinals will send out newly acquired Jose Quintana, who is 30-5 to the NRFI with a 15-3 home NRFI split. Quintana’s most notable matchups are Nick Castellanos, who is 11-for-40, and Bryce Harper, who is 0-for-9.

Wheeler is still getting ramped up after an IL stint and I am not particularly sold on Quintana, with his xERA being just below 4.00.

Pick: YRFI (+135) via DraftKings

Matchup L. Castillo (Mariners) vs. A. Manoah (Blue Jays)
First Pitch 4:07  p.m. ET

The Mariners will send out their newly acquired pitcher, Luis Castillo, who is 19-6 to the NRFI with a 10-3 road NRFI split. His most noteworthy matchups today are Raimel Tapia, who has seven hits in 11 at-bats, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is 0-for-3.

The Blue Jays will send out their ace Alek Manoah who is 26-5 to the NRFI with a perfect 15-0 road NRFI split. His biggest matchups today are Carlos Santana, who is 2-for-7, and leadoff hitter Julio Rodriguez, who is 0-for-3.

Both of these offenses slowed down to end the season, and the Blue Jays actually have worse home NRFI numbers than road NRFI numbers.

This is a respectable price considering the quality of these two pitchers.

Pick: NRFI via FanDuel (-140)

Padres vs.

Mets

Matchup Y. Darvish (Padres) vs. M. Scherzer (Mets)
First Pitch 8:07 p.m. ET

Max Scherzer will toe the rubber for the Mets today. He is 18-5 to the NRFI with an 8-2 home NRFI split. His biggest matchups today are against Manny Machado, who is 8-for-50, and Jake Cronenworth, who is 0-for-13.

The Padres will counter with Yu Darvish, who is 22-8 to the NRFI with a weak 11–6 road NRFI split. His most notable matchups today are against Francisco Lindor, who is 6-for-15 against hi,m and Jeff McNeil, who is 1-for-11.

The Mets are one of the better home YRFI teams. They have a low NRFI when at home of 57% pairing that with Darvish’s weak road NRFI split.

There is value here playing the YRFI.

Pick: YRFI (+135) via DraftKings


For all of Shayne Trail’s favorite NRFI/YRFI bets, follow him in the Action Network app.


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