MLB PrizePicks Today, Featuring Fernando Tatis Jr., Juan Soto & More (Tuesday, August 1)
Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images. Pictured: Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres)
We have a stacked 15-game MLB slate on Tuesday, which means there are plenty of entries to sift through on PrizePicks.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different player squares to pay out up to 10x your entry.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play provides lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.
Here’s how I would approach Tuesday's MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player picks in which you combine two or more entries together.
Juan Soto Fantasy Score More Than 9.5
Right-hander Peter Lambert takes the mound for Colorado in this matchup and should be a good fade candidate. Through 17 appearances on the mound, Lambert possesses a 4.77 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.
Not only does he possess poor surface-level stats, but his underlying metrics suggest that positive regression is unlikely, as he ranks in the 22nd percentile or lower in Average Exit Velocity, HardHit%, xERA/xwOBA, xSLG and Barrel%.
The first San Diego hitter to back in this contest is Juan Soto, who boasts a .273 BA, .505 SLG and .929 OPS this season. His underlying metrics are also excellent, as he ranks in the 88th percentile or higher in average exit velocity, HardHit%, xwOBA and xSLG.
Entering this game in good form, Soto has surpassed this number in three of his past four games.
Fernando Tatis Jr. Fantasy Score More Than 10.5
The other Padres hitter to back is Fernando Tatis Jr.
Also putting together a strong season, Tatis boasts a .271 BA, .488 SLG and .816 OPS.
His underlying metrics also suggest that regression is unlikely, as he ranks in the 92nd percentile or higher in average exit velocity, HardHit%, xwOBA, xBA and xSLG.
This strong season is likely to continue against Lambert, a guy whom Tatis has homered against previously.
Francisco Lindor Fantasy Score More Than 7.5
Not only has it been a tough year for Kansas City, but it's been an especially brutal campaign for right-hander Zack Greinke. Through 20 starts, he's 1-11 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
His underlying metrics are also poor, ranking in the 13th percentile or lower in xERA/xwOBA, xBA and xSLG.
The first Mets hitter to back is Francisco Lindor. Entering this contest in good form, Lindor has homered in each of the past two games and therefore, he's surpassed this figure in each of those outings.
He also boasts strong underlying metrics this year, ranking in the 75th percentile or higher in average exit velocity, HardHit%, xwOBA, xSLG and Barrel%.
Through three career plate appearances against Greinke, Lindor possesses a .333 BA, .667 SLG and .411 wOBA.
Pete Alonso Fantasy Score More Than 8
The other Mets hitter to back is Pete Alonso, who's 1-for-2 with a double in his career against Greinke.
A tremendous power hitter, Alonso ranks in the 90th percentile or higher in xSLG, xwOBA and Barrel%. That means you won't be surprised to hear that he's third in MLB this season in home runs with 30.
He's always a threat to go deep, and that threat is elevated against Greinke.