The New York Mets host the Washington Nationals on April 29, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -162 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +135 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Nationals vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Nationals vs Mets Prediction
- Nationals vs Mets Pick: Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits
My Nationals vs Mets best bet is on Bo Bichette to go over his hits total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Nationals vs Mets Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +136 | 7.5 +103o / -121u | +135 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -165 | 7.5 +103o / -121u | -162 |
- Nationals vs Mets moneyline: Nationals +135, Mets -162
- Nationals vs Mets over/under: 7.5 (+103o / -121u)
- Nationals vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+136 ), Nationals +1.5 (-165)
Nationals vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| RHP Cade Cavalli (WSN) | Stat | LHP David Peterson (NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | W-L | 0-3 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 4.01/3.87 | ERA / xERA | 5.06/ 4.77 |
| 2.80/4.20 | FIP / xFIP | 3.76/3.86 |
| 13.8% | K-BB% | 10.4% |
| 43.1% | GB% | 52.3% |
| .403 | BABIP | .360 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 88 |
| 92 | Location+ | 100 |
Nationals vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
The Nationals enter Wednesday’s contest with a 13-17 record, looking to erase the memory of a dismal Tuesday night where they were held to just three hits in a shutout loss. The offensive inconsistency has been the story of their season; despite flashes of brilliance from CJ Abrams, the lineup has struggled to string together hits on the road from D.C.
Cade Cavalli (4.01 ERA) takes the mound for Washington. Cavalli has the elite velocity to neutralize hitters, but his command has been shaky through the first month of the 2026 campaign. He’ll need to be precise against a Mets lineup that just put up eight runs and appears to be regaining its confidence.
It hasn't been the smoothest start for the Mets (10-19) or their $42 million man, Bo Bichette. However, Tuesday might have been the turning point. Bichette launched a leadoff home run on the first pitch he saw and finished the night with multiple RBI, looking every bit like the two-time AL hit leader the Mets thought they were getting.
David Peterson (5.06 ERA) gets the start for New York. While his ERA is inflated, the Mets' focus is squarely on their offense providing enough run support to take the pressure off a rotation that has been hit-or-miss. With Juan Soto also finding his power stroke in the series opener, the Mets' top of the order is starting to look like the juggernaut fans expected.
Nationals vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
The spotlight for this matchup is on the player prop market on Bo Bichette. Our PRO Projections have identified a significant edge on Bichette’s hit total, making this one of the top-rated system plays for the Wednesday slate.
The logic behind this play is rooted in volume and matchup dynamics.
Since moving into the leadoff spot, Bichette is seeing an average of 4.5 plate appearances per game. For a player with his contact profile, more trips to the plate directly correlate to a higher probability of a multi-hit performance.
Cavalli relies heavily on his high-90s heater. Bichette is notoriously one of the best "bad-ball" and high-velocity hitters in the league. He thrives on aggressive early-count swings, which fit perfectly against a young pitcher like Cavalli, who often tries to establish his fastball early.
Bichette’s swing looked noticeably more controlled in Tuesday’s 8-0 win. After a multi-base performance like his recent HR and walk-off double earlier in the week, Bichette’s hit probability historically spikes over the subsequent 48-hour window.
Pick: Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits
