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Mets vs Cubs Prediction, Pick, Odds: Wrigley Field Unders

Mets vs Cubs Prediction, Pick, Odds: Wrigley Field Unders article feature image
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Photos Courtesy of Imagn Images. Pictured: New York Mets OF Juan Soto (left), Chicago Cubs IF Alex Bregman (right).

The Chicago Cubs host the New York Mets on April 19, 2026. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.

The Cubs are favored by -116 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +102 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Mets vs Cubs Prediction

  • Mets vs Cubs Pick: Under 8.5

My Mets vs Cubs best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Mets vs Cubs Odds

Mets Logo
Sunday, Apr 19
2:20 p.m. ET
SNY
Cubs Logo
Mets Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+164
8.5
-105o / -115u
-102
Cubs Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-200
8.5
-105o / -115u
-116
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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  • Mets vs Cubs moneyline: Mets -102, Cubs -116
  • Mets vs Cubs over/under: 8.5 (-105o / -115u)
  • Mets vs Cubs spread: Cubs -1.5 (+164), Mets +1.5 (-200)

Mets vs Cubs Probable Pitchers

David Peterson (LHP)StatJavier Assad (RHP)
0-3W-L1-1
0.4fWAR (FanGraphs)-0.1
6.41 / 4.96ERA / xERA8.10 / 4.71
3.36 / 3.68FIP / xFIP5.75 / 4.95
1.83WHIP1.60
11.3%K-BB%4.4%
55.6%GB%42.9%
87Stuff+103
100Location+99

Mets vs Cubs MLB Betting Preview

This game triggered one of our Action PRO systems, powered by Evan Abrams.

This system focuses exclusively on Cubs home games, where wind direction is a major scoring variable.

When the wind blows in or across (from the sides), and total opens between 8 and 13, unders become highly valuable.

Wrigley is uniquely sensitive to weather due to its field orientation and lack of a dome, making it the premier ballpark for wind-based betting edges.


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Mets vs Cubs Pick, Betting Analysis

Not only is the wind projected to be blowing across the field at 13 MPH, but we're expecting mid-40s temperatures in Chicago on Sunday.

The run-scoring environment should be brutal.

BallParkPal projects a -15% run-scoring factor behind a -23% home run factor, lowering his projected total by nearly 1.4 runs compared to a weather-neutral day.

Pick: Under 8.5

Playbook

Mets vs Cubs Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.
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