The Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Mets on August 10, 2025. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSWI.
The Brewers will look to sweep this series at home today and will send Quinn Priester to the hill. The Mets' Sean Manaea will oppose him.
Find my MLB betting preview and Mets vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Mets vs Brewers Prediction
- Mets vs Brewers pick: Under 8 (-106)
My Mets vs Brewers best bet is Under 8 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Brewers Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +156 | 8 -114o / -106u | -102 |
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -192 | 8 -114o / -106u | -119 |
Mets vs Brewers Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Sean Manaea (NYM) | Stat | RHP Quinn Priester (MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 11-2 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 3.52 / 3.36 | ERA / xERA | 3.15 / 3.59 |
| 3.54 / 3.55 | FIP / xFIP | 4.01 / 3.75 |
| 0.96 | WHIP | 1.19 |
| 22.3 | K-BB% | 11.7 |
| 35.6 | GB% | 57.8 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 100 | Location+ | 100 |
Mets vs Brewers Preview
Quinn Priester is having a breakout season. His stellar 11-2 record is supported by a good Brewers offense, of course, but the right-hander has been putting up the numbers to make it happen.
The scary part is Priester keeps improving. He has a 6-0 record, with a 2.08 ERA and 0.99 WHIP across his last seven starts, and in his previous outing against the Atlanta Braves, he only gave up two hits and one run in seven innings.
Sean Manaea will oppose him today. Although his stats cannot be compared to Priester's, he has been really solid with only one hiccup: his last outing. In his other three starts, Manaea only allowed one run per game.
Both teams have better-than-average bullpens: the Mets rank 12th with a 3.78 ERA, and the Brewers are 15th with a 3.92 ERA, so batters should have a tough time today.
Our Bet Labs recommendation is to go with the under.
This system targets Sunday MLB games where the home team is coming off one or two consecutive overs, suggesting recent offensive outperformance or inflated totals.
The theory is that on Sundays —often the final game of a series and an early start— teams may rest key hitters, lineups can be inconsistent, and pitchers usually perform better against lineups they’ve already seen.
With an opening total in the 8 to 9.5 run range, the line is high enough to offer under value when offensive regression is likely. Betting the under in these specific setups has historically yielded a positive ROI over time.
Taking Unders with moderate totals (8 to 9.5) in Sunday games with home teams on an Over streak. Sunday games usually wrap up the series and are played during the day, usually after a night game.
Hitters may tend to be worn out by the end of the week, and collectively as a league, players tend to take their rest days on Sundays, so there's an added advantage towards Unders.
Pick: Under 8 (-106, DraftKings)
