The Texas Rangers host the New York Mets on September 24, 2026. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 2:35 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on RSN.
The Rangers are favored by -132 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +112 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Mets vs Rangers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Rangers Prediction
- Mets vs Rangers Pick: F5 Over 4.5 (-120)
Our Mets vs Rangers best bet is Over 4.5 total runs in the first five innings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Mets vs Rangers Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -205 | 8.5 -100o / -122u | +112 |
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +168 | 8.5 -100o / -122u | -132 |
- Mets vs Rangers moneyline: Mets +112, Rangers -132
- Mets vs Rangers over/under: 8.5 (-100o / -122u)
- Mets vs Rangers spread: Mets +1.5 (-205), Rangers -1.5 (+168)
Mets vs Rangers Probable Pitchers
| Zac Thornton (LHP, NYM) | Stat | Kumar Rocker (RHP, TEX) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | W-L | 5-11 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.4 |
| 3.40 / 4.63 | ERA / xERA | 4.47 / 4.59 |
| 4.50 / 4.13 | FIP / xFIP | 4.36 / 4.28 |
| 13.2 | K-BB% | 12.0 |
| 37.7 | GB% | 43.2 |
| .270 | BABIP | .302 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 97 | Location+ | 96 |
Mets vs Rangers MLB Betting Preview
Sean Zerillo's projections show solid value on the first-five-innings total in this Mets vs. Rangers matchup, with a 3.5% edge on the over.
If you want to dive deeper into this game, check out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball tool that gives you access to all the input data he uses to project games every day.
Mets vs Rangers Pick, Betting Analysis
BARTOLO projects 4.96 runs in the first five innings, well above the 4.5 line offered. The key here is the low confidence in both starters.
Even though his overall stats look better, Zerillo has Mets starter Zac Thornton ranked lower among SPs than the Rangers' Kumar Rocker.
While Thornton has the 142nd spot, Rocker ranks 119th. Obviously, none of that is encouraging when having to face two lineups with clear home run potential.
In the power category, BARTOLO has the Mets with an A- grade and the Rangers with a B+.
Let's back the over on the first five innings this afternoon in Texas.
Pick: F5 Over 4.5 (-120, FanDuel)
