The Philadelphia Phillies host the Milwaukee Brewers on September 24, 2026. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on BREW.
The Phillies are -120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The Brewers are +100 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Brewers vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Brewers vs Phillies Prediction
- Brewers vs Phillies Pick: Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits (+225)
Our Brewers vs Phillies best bet is on Luis Arraez to record over 1.5 hits. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Brewers vs Phillies Odds
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +170 | 8.5 -102o / -118u | +100 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 8.5 -102o / -118u | -120 |
- Brewers vs Phillies moneyline: Brewers +100, Phillies -120
- Brewers vs Phillies over/under: 8.5 (-102o / -118u)
- Brewers vs Phillies spread: Brewers -1.5 (+170), Phillies +1.5 (-210)
Brewers vs Phillies Probable Pitchers
| Bryse Wilson (RHP, MIL) | Stat | Andrew Painter (RHP, PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | W-L | 3-10 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 3.67/3.86 | ERA / xERA | 5.59/4.48 |
| 2.92/3.45 | FIP / xFIP | 4.80/4.34 |
| 18.6% | K-BB% | 11.9% |
| 39.8% | GB% | 41.8% |
| .355 | BABIP | .302 |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 110 | Location+ | 102 |
Brewers vs Phillies MLB Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers carry a stellar 99-59 record into Thursday's matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies as they look to reach the coveted 100-win threshold.
Milwaukee has dominated when its offense hits its stride, posting a 71-25 mark when recording at least eight hits.
On the opposing side, Philadelphia sits second in the NL East at 87-71 and holds a solid 42-35 record at home, thriving when generating offense with a 62-10 mark when scoring five runs or more.
This contest marks the sixth meeting between the clubs this year, with the Brewers holding a slim 3-2 edge in the season series.
Thursday's pitching duel features right-hander Bryse Wilson getting the nod for Milwaukee against Philadelphia's top prospect Andrew Painter, who holds a 3-10 record with a 5.59 ERA and 1.42 WHIP on the season.
Despite Painter's overall ERA, he has found a steady rhythm down the stretch, completing at least five innings in nine of his past ten outings while compiling a much sharper 3.88 ERA over that stretch.
Brewers vs Phillies Pick, Betting Analysis
Action PRO projects Luis Arraez for 1.67 hits against Milwaukee's pitching staff, creating a strong 18.9% edge against his current over/under line of 1.5 hits and earning an A+ grade in our projection system.
Arraez anchors the Phillies' lineup with a team-leading .312 batting average alongside 33 doubles, seven triples, six home runs, and 64 RBIs.
He has already collected multi-hit performances in two of his past four games, and taking on Bryse Wilson provides a favorable matchup for his elite contact tool.
Given his current rhythm at the plate and the appealing plus-money price tag, backing Arraez Over 1.5 Hits offers excellent value.
Pick: Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits (+225)
