The Atlanta Braves host the Cincinnati Reds on September 24, 2026. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Fox Sports 1.
The Braves are favored by -225 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +185 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Reds vs Braves Prediction
- Reds vs Braves Pick: Braves F5 -180, 1u | Bet to -200
My Reds vs Braves best bet is Atlanta to lead after five innings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Reds vs Braves Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -125 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | +185 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +105 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -225 |
- Reds vs Braves moneyline: Reds +185, Braves -225
- Reds vs Braves over/under: 7.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Reds vs Braves spread: Reds +1.5 (-125), Braves -1.5 (+105)
Reds vs Braves Probable Pitchers
| Brady Singer (RHP, CIN) | Stat | Tyler Mahle (RHP, ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-15 | W-L | 7-10 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.2 |
| 5.67 / 5.71 | ERA / xERA | 3.81 / 3.87 |
| 5.55 / 4.67 | FIP / xFIP | 3.85 / 3.81 |
| 9.2 | K-BB% | 15.0 |
| 42.1 | GB% | 43.7 |
| .315 | BABIP | .289 |
| 91 | Stuff+ | 88 |
| 96 | Location+ | 111 |
Reds vs Braves MLB Betting Preview
With the Braves having clinched the NL East and sitting five games behind the Dodgers at the start of play on Wednesday, they appear to be locked into the 3rd seed in the National League, making this a meaningless game against the Reds.
Also pretty meaningless, Brady Singer’s entire second half. He’s allowed at least three runs in 11 straight starts and now 21 over his last 12.1 innings with 15 walks and eight strikeouts. It's worth noting that all three of those starts were against the two teams the Braves trail in NL seeding, but you can go as far back as Singer’s last start in June and find a 6.44 ERA and 5.80 xERA since then.
Batters from either side of the plate exceed a .330 wOBA and xwOBA against Singer this season, with LHBs above .360.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has been absent since being hit in the leg on Tuesday, but appears to be fine. The Braves probably want to keep him in some sort of rhythm, and there’s speculation he should be back sooner rather than later. He does lead the projected lineup with a 179 wRC+ over the last 30 days.
Even without him, Drake Baldwin, Michael Harris and Matt Olson all exceed a 120 wRC+ and .190 ISO against RHP, while Mike Yastrzemski (98, .166) has been perfectly average. Singer’s pitching might make everyone below average look average.
The projected defense behind him breaks down to -5 FRV, with the infield being responsible for any positive value.
The Cincinnati bullpen is third-worst in the league over the last 30 days, with a 5.04 FIP, 4.7 xFIP, and 4.17 SIERA. BARTOLO only ranks them a few spots better at 25th.
Chris Sale threw 97 pitches in a meaningless game on Wednesday, which gives some confidence in seeing at least five innings out of Tyler Mahle on Thursday.
He’s been on fire since joining the Braves, allowing just nine runs (seven earned) over 49.1 innings with a 19.7 K-BB% and just 5.1% Barrels/BBE. That breaks down to a 1.28 ERA, 3.38 xERA and 3.27 xFIP.
Mahle will probably want to go into the postseason continuing in that role, and the projected Cincinnati lineup should give him every chance, averaging 80 wRC+ on the road, 81 wRC+ vs RHP, and 78 wRC+ over the last month.
Say all you want about Elly De La Cruz (231 wRC+ L30 days) and Sal Stewart (109), but this projected lineup includes five batters no higher than a 75 wRC+ over the last month, with three batters below 5.
The Braves project a solid defense (13 FRV), while the bullpen has been middle of the league over the last month (4.08 FIP, 4.05 xFIP, 3.69 SIERA). BARTOLO ranks them 5th best on the season.
Reds vs Braves Pick, Betting Analysis
I value Mahle a run and one-third better than Singer right now. With Acuna in the lineup, I have the Braves more than 20 points better (wRC+) than the Reds. If I replace him with an 85 wRC+ across the board, I still get nearly 15 points.
Add in 18 FRV and around two-thirds of a run via bullpens, and I have the Braves winning this game around 70% of the time.
However, I also have them at around 70% to win the first five innings. Not only does that market offer a better price, but I feel more confident projecting Mahle’s five innings than bullpen usage in a meaningless game.
Pick: Braves F5 -180, 1u | Bet to -200
