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Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Thursday, September 24

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Thursday, September 24 article feature image
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Pictured: Hunter Goodman

The Colorado Rockies host the Arizona Diamondbacks on September 24, 2026. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on COLR.

The Diamondbacks are favored by -193 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +159 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 10 runs.

Find our MLB picks and Diamondbacks vs Rockies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction

  • Diamondbacks vs Rockies Pick: Under 10 (-111)

Our Diamondbacks vs Rockies best bet is Colorado to lead after five innings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.


Diamondbacks vs Rockies Odds

Diamondbacks Logo
Thursday, Sep 24
3:10 p.m. ET
ARID
Rockies Logo
Diamondbacks Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-120
10
-109o / -111u
-193
Rockies Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
+100
10
-109o / -111u
+159
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
DraftKings Logo
  • Diamondbacks vs Rockies moneyline: Diamondbacks -193, Rockies +159
  • Diamondbacks vs Rockies over/under: 10 (-109o / -111u)
  • Diamondbacks vs Rockies spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (-120), Rockies +1.5 (+100)

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Probable Pitchers

Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP, ARI)StatTanner Gordon (RHP, COL)
15-7W-L1-5
3.1fWAR (FanGraphs)0.7
2.89 / 4.27ERA / xERA6.01 / 4.80
3.87 / 4.41FIP / xFIP4.54 / 4.44
10.2K-BB%14.3
39.4GB%33.8
.270BABIP.362
93Stuff+86
109Location+109

Diamondbacks vs Rockies MLB Betting Preview

Sean Zerillo's projections show solid value on the under this afternoon, with a 3.5% edge.

If you want to dive deeper into this game, check out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball tool that gives you access to all the input data he uses to project games every day.


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Diamondbacks vs Rockies Pick, Betting Analysis

The instinct with any Coors Field total is to lean toward the over almost reflexively, and most of the public handicapping on this game is doing exactly that, pointing to the altitude, two shaky starting pitchers, and Colorado's own offense (averaging 4.6 runs a game) as reasons to expect a track meet.

That instinct isn't wrong as a baseline, but the BARTOLO model's weather-adjusted look at tonight specifically flags a real complication. Wind blowing in from the outfield tonight, which the model translates into a meaningful negative adjustment to the expected run environment.

Coors' elevation still helps balls carry and reduces breaking-ball bite regardless of wind, but a sustained in-blowing wind is one of the few forces strong enough to meaningfully offset that thin-air effect, turning would-be extra-base hits into long outs and taking some of the growth off routine flyUnderss.

Under with wind blowing in has also been a favorable trend to back historically. Unders in games where the wind has been between 6- 11 mph have produced a 5% ROI this season and a 4% ROI since 2005.

Pick: Under 10 (-111, DraftKings)


Diamondbacks vs Rockies Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.

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