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The Philadelphia Phillies host the Tampa Bay Rays on September 26, 2026. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on FOX.
The Rays are favored by -110 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Phillies are -109 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rays vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rays vs Phillies Prediction
- Rays vs Phillies Pick: Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375, bet365)
My Rays vs Phillies best bet is Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Phillies Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -200 | 7 -121o / -100u | -110 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +165 | 7 -121o / -100u | -109 |
- Rays vs Phillies moneyline: Rays -110, Phillies -109
- Rays vs Phillies over/under: 7 (-121o / -100u)
- Rays vs Phillies spread: Rays -1.5 (+165), Phillies +1.5 (-200)
Rays vs Phillies Probable Pitchers
| Griffin Jax (RHP, TBR) | Stat | Jose Urquidy (RHP, PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-10 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 1.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.5 |
| 3.62/4.33 | ERA / xERA | 4.54/3.38 |
| 3.79/3.40 | FIP / xFIP | 3.84/4.27 |
| 17.8% | K-BB% | 13.3% |
| 45.4% | GB% | 40.4% |
| .284 | BABIP | .345 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 107 | Location+ | 111 |
Rays vs Phillies MLB Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays (96-63) travel to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday evening to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (87-72) in the second game of a high-stakes weekend series.
The Rays are coming off a tight 2-0 victory on Friday night, relying on strong early pitching from Freddy Peralta and a spotless bullpen to cap off their 97th overall win of the campaign. With the AL East title race coming down to the wire, Tampa Bay is looking to maintain momentum behind right-hander Griffin Jax, who takes the bump for his 23rd start of the season.
The Phillies, meanwhile, are aiming to snap a minor funk after being shut out in Friday's opener. Philadelphia answers with right-handed starter José Urquidy taking the mound. Playing at Citizens Bank Park—one of the premier hitters' environments in baseball—the Phillies' powerhouse lineup will look to bounce back and unleash their signature power hitting.
Rays vs Phillies Pick, Betting Analysis
Our PRO Projections system pick highlights a strong edge on Kyle Schwarber to hit a Home Run (Over 0.5).
Schwarber continues to be one of the game's elite power threats, entering Saturday's game with 45 home runs on the season. When facing right-handed pitching at home, his fly-ball rate and hard-contact percentage spike into the top percentile of all MLB hitters.
Citizens Bank Park consistently ranks among the top ballparks in MLB for home run park factors, especially for left-handed pull hitters who benefit from short porch dimensions in right field.
Schwarber's projection model relies heavily on isolating pitching matchups. Griffin Jax relies on a pitch mix that frequently stays inside the strike zone. Schwarber’s high launch-angle profile aligns perfectly against Jax’s tendencies, giving the Phillies slugger prime opportunities to turn on a pitch early in the count.
Pick: Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375, bet365)
