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The Washington Nationals host the New York Mets on September 26, 2026. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NATS.
The Mets are favored by -134 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +114 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
- Mets vs Nationals Pick: Juan Soto Home Run (+470; Bet to +380)
My Mets vs Nationals best bet is on Juan Soto to hit a homer. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page. Be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Mets vs Nationals Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +134 | 8.5 -102o / -120u | -134 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -162 | 8.5 -102o / -120u | +114 |
- Mets vs Nationals moneyline: Mets -134, Nationals +114
- Mets vs Nationals over/under: 8.5 (-102o / -120u)
- Mets vs Nationals spread: Mets -1.5 (+1345), Nationals +1.5 (-162)
Mets vs Nationals Probable Pitchers
| Jonah Tong (RHP, NYM) | Stat | Connelly Early (LHP, WSN) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | W-L | 7-5 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 4.21/3.36 | ERA / xERA | 3.44/4.36 |
| 3.80/4.55 | FIP / xFIP | 4.61/4.11 |
| 10.5% | K-BB% | 15.1% |
| 44.4% | GB% | 42.6% |
| .260 | BABIP | .276 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 93 | Location+ | 97 |
Mets vs Nationals MLB Betting Preview
By Derek Carty
There may be some value on Juan Soto's home runs prop.
THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.27 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.20.
The model believes there is a 23% chance he records at least 1 home run, so there is value on the over at +470.
This play is good down to at least +380.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
