The Toronto Blue Jays host the Philadelphia Phillies on June 9, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SN1.
The Phillies are -118 on the moneyline. The Blue Jays are +100 on the moneyline. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Phillies vs Blue Jays Pick: Zack Wheeler Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100 or Better)
My Phillies vs Blue Jays best bet is on Zack Wheeler. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Blue Jays Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 7.5 -102o / -120u | -118 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -182 | 7.5 -102o / -120u | +100 |
- Phillies vs Blue Jays moneyline: Phillies -118, Blue Jays +100
- Phillies vs Blue Jays over/under: 7.5 (-102 / -120)
- Phillies vs Blue Jays spread: Phillies -1.5 (+160), Blue Jays +1.5 (-182)
Phillies vs Blue Jays Polymarket MLB Odds
Phillies vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| Zack Wheeler (RHP, PHI) | Stat | Dylan Cease (RHP, TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | W-L | 3-3 |
| 1.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
| 2.31 / 3.21 | ERA / xERA | 3.05 / 3.12 |
| 3.52 / 3.34 | FIP / xFIP | 2.59 / 2.56 |
| 19.0% | K-BB% | 25.6% |
| 43.0% | GB% | 47.1% |
| .197 | BABIP | .333 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 108 |
| 108 | Location+ | 99 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Phillies are back?
They have won 11 of their past 15 games and sit six games above .500. Unfortunately, the Braves have won eight of their past 10 games and own a nine-game lead on Philadelphia in the NL West.
Philadelphia has the talent to make a solid playoff run with some help at the trade deadline. Its rotation is headed by a formidable trio between Cristopher Sanchez, Jesus Luzardo, and today's starter, Zack Wheeler, while their bullpen is one of the NL's best.
The only thing keeping the Phillies from serious conversations is their high-priced, underperforming offense. Six of their offense's regulars are posting a wRC+ below 80 — that includes Trea Turner, J.T. Realmuto, and Adolis Garcia, a trio combining to earn just above $50 million this season.
Nevertheless, some players are carrying their weight. Kyle Schwarber (156 wRC+) and Bryce Harper (141 wRC+) would be in NL MVP consideration if Shohei Ohtani didn't exist.
Also, Brandon Marsh is the hottest hitter in baseball in recent weeks. He has four homers, seven runs, eight RBI, and a .415 batting average since May 24. This stretch has boosted his season-long wRC+ to an incredible 143 through 232 plate appearances.
If the Phillies can get close to average offensive production in aggregate from their former top prospects and highly paid veterans, a swing at the deadline for a middle-of-the-order bat could swing their playoff odds significantly.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
Toronto continues to hover around .500, yet cannot cross it.
The Jays' 29-29 record on May 29 was their best record since April 4. They are now three games below .500, with six losses in their past nine games.
This team is experiencing an extreme World Series hangover, but there is some good news. High-priced offseason acquisition and de facto ace Dylan Cease returns to the mound today, while star catcher Alejandro Kirk should return from his extended absence this weekend.
Despite a mediocre offensive season thus far, the Blue Jays have at least hit in recent weeks. Their team offense ranks ninth in the past 14 days and eighth in the past week.
This offense is producing despite cornerstone Vladimir Guerrero Jr's power outage. Guerrero Jr. has an underwhelming 109 wRC+ this season, with just three total dingers. He is slashing a putrid .223/.319/.281 since April 30. The former super prospect is too talented to struggle all season. He should correct course, unless news emerges of an unreported injury.
While Guerrero Jr. is the face of this team, their best player is hidden in the bullpen. Louis Varland has emerged as one of MLB's best relievers. His 0.26 ERA through 34 2/3 IP is astounding. He is backing it with elite peripherals, driven by the marriage of a 27.3% K-BB rate and 60.3% ground-ball rate.
With Cease returning today, the Blue Jays' depth chart displays extreme talent at the top of their rotation and bullpen. If the top talent offense can get going, specifically Guerrero Jr. and George Springer, they should cross that daunting .500 mark with ease in the coming weeks.
However, a repeat of their 2025 World Series appearance remains unlikely.
Phillies vs Blue Jays Pick, Betting Analysis
Zack Wheeler returned from Thoracic Outlet surgery, which required the removal of a rib, and has hardly lost a step. He has a 2.31 ERA, backed by a 3.21 xERA, 3.34 xFIP, and 3.44 SIERA.
His ERA is as good as ever, but his peripherals are about a run above his recent years. This is due to Wheeler's drop in strikeout rate this season. He has a 25.4% K rate, his lowest since 2020 (18.4%).
Although this strikeout rate is well above league average and excellent in a vacuum, he is not "as" elite as in prior seasons. This makes him a candidate to provide value today against a Blue Jays offense ranking best in team strikeout rate against RHP (19%).
The Blue Jays are also much better against righties than lefties. They rank league average against righties all season, yet have a top-10 offense in the past two weeks (119 wRC+).
Wheeler has gone under 5.5 strikeouts in three of eight starts this season (four in each). If Toronto can continue swinging a hot, low strikeout bat, they can keep Wheeler under his total, especially if he is knocked out early.
Pick: Zack Wheeler Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100 or Better)
