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Pirates vs. Brewers MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: How to Bet Christian Yelich, Milwaukee (Wednesday, August 31)

Pirates vs. Brewers MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: How to Bet Christian Yelich, Milwaukee (Wednesday, August 31) article feature image
Credit:

Michael Owens/MLB Photos via Getty Images. Pictured: Christian Yelich #22 of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Pirates vs. Brewers Odds

Pirates Odds +220
Brewers Odds -260
Over/Under 8
Time 2:10 p.m. ET
TV MLB.TV
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to bounce-back after another painful loss Tuesday, as the Brewers cling to slim Wild Card hopes entering the final month of play this season.

The Brewers will enter their matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates as heavy favorites to claim Wednesday’s matinee, as Freddy Peralta will challenge one of the worst starters in baseball being Zach Thompson.

Will the Brewers offense disappoint Wednesday?

Zach Thompson Struggling With the Pirates

Thompson’s 5.33 ERA and 5.16 xERA go as two of the league’s worst marks of any pitcher with a sample size as large as 104 and a third innings, and on a stronger staff Thompson quite likely is not still getting the ball every fifth day.

Throughout the month of August Thompson’s struggles have hit another level, as the 28-year old righty has pitched to an ERA of 6.17 with a very concerning WHIP of 1.76.

Thompson has struck out just 16% of batters faced this season, and has consistently allowed a lot of hard contact leading to an xwOBA of .349.

Potentially making matters worse, historically Thompson has struggled in previous matchups against the current Brewers roster, allowing an xSLG of .494 throughout 82 PA’s.


Brewers In Need of a Turnaround

Milwaukee should be in a good spot to bounce-back after Tuesday’s disappointing two-run output in a spot against Thompson, especially looking towards the team’s season long numbers against righties.

The Brewers have fared far better batting against right-handed pitching, with a 110 wRC+ and .329 wOBA throughout the season. Milwaukee has also hit to considerably better numbers at home this season, with a wRC+ of 110 as well, compared its below average numbers on the road.

Christian Yelich has been in strong form of late with 13 hits in his last 35 PA’s, and a continued resurgence from the former MVP would go as a massive boost to the team’s dwindling playoff hopes.

Thompson has allowed left-handed bats to slug .467 on the season, while Yelich has slugged .413 against righties throughout his modest 2022 campaign.

Yelich has also fared steadily historically against Thompson with three hits in eight at-bats, and will be a player to watch entering Wednesday’s contest.

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Pirates-Brewers Pick

Thompson has struggled mightily throughout the month of August in particular, with batters slugging at a ridiculous .530 clip, and will look to bounce-back against a Brewers club which has batted quite soundly versus righties this season.

The Brewers should manage a steady output of offense in this spot, and Yelich seems to have a number of splits working in his favor here as he sets his sights on one of the more gettable starters in the majors.

At +110 for Yelich to record over 1.5 bases I believe we have a strong play, on a day where an extra at-bat for the Brewers likely lead-off man seems very possible.

Pick: Christian Yelich Over 1.5 Total Bases +110

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