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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Red Sox vs Orioles, Athletics vs Mariners, More for Saturday, September 5

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Predictions, Props for Red Sox vs Orioles, Athletics vs Mariners, More for Saturday, September 5 article feature image
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Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images. Pictured: Orioles DH Pete Alonso

We're back to a regular 15-game MLB slate on Saturday, and we'll target three matchups tonight.

I'm bringing you bangers for Red Sox vs. Orioles (7:05 p.m ET), Blue Jays vs. Royals (7:10 p.m ET), and Athletics vs. Mariners (9:40 p.m. ET).

Read on for my 4 MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Boston Red Sox LogoBaltimore Orioles Logo
7:05 PM
Boston Red Sox LogoBaltimore Orioles Logo
7:05 PM
Toronto Blue Jays LogoKansas City Royals Logo
7:10 PM
Oakland Athletics LogoSeattle Mariners Logo
9:40 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Pick

Boston Red Sox Logo
Saturday, Sept. 5
7:05 PM ET
MLB.TV
Baltimore Orioles Logo
Pete Alonso Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Red Sox starter Sonny Gray is a below-average matchup for righty power, but Pete Alonso is one of the best home run hitters in the league.

I have the true odds on the Orioles DH at around +340.

Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run



Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Pick

Boston Red Sox Logo
Saturday, Sept. 5
7:05 PM ET
MLB.TV
Baltimore Orioles Logo
Wilyer Abreu Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Orioles SP Chris Bassitt has been a gas can for lefty power for years, with massive splits when it comes to homers.

The ballpark is one of the best in the league for lefty power and a bit of an upgrade over Fenway.

I have the true odds for Red Sox RF Wilyer Abreu at around +320.

Pick: Wilyer Abreu Home Run



Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Pick

Toronto Blue Jays Logo
Saturday, Sept. 5
7:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Kansas City Royals Logo
Carter Jensen Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Blue Jays starter Max Scherzer has been better recently, but he still grades out as one of the best matchups in the league for power, allowing a 1.83 HR/9 to lefties and a 1.99 HR/9 to righties.

The weather is good for hitting, with temperatures in the high 90s. Carter Jensen is an above-average power bat, and I have the true odds for the Royals catcher at around +330.

Pick: Carter Jensen Home Run



Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Pick

Oakland Athletics Logo
Saturday, Sept. 5
9:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Seattle Mariners Logo
Cal Raleigh Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Athletics SP Jeffrey Springs has been a complete gas can for righty power this season, allowing a massive 2.34 HR/9, and he has historically been a great matchup for righty power.

Cal Raleigh has been in good form recently after a terrible start to the season. I have the true odds for the Mariners catcher at around +280.

Pick: Cal Raleigh Home Run



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About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

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