The New York Mets host the St. Louis Cardinals on June 9, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Cardinals are +106 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Cardinals vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction
- Cardinals vs Mets Pick: Dustin May Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145, betMGM)
My Cardinals vs Mets best bet is on May to record less than 6 strikeouts. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Cardinals vs Mets Odds
| Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +165 | 7.5 -120o / -102u | +106 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -200 | 7.5 -120o / -102u | -125 |
- Cardinals vs Mets moneyline: Cardinals +106, Mets -125
- Cardinals vs Mets over/under: 7.5 (-120o / -102u)
- Cardinals vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+165 ), Cardinals +1.5 (-200)
Cardinals vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Dustin May | Stat | Freddy Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | W-L | 4-4 |
| 1.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1 |
| 4.59 / 3.75 | ERA / xERA | 3.63 / 3.80 |
| 3.36 / 3.90 | FIP / xFIP | 4.01 / 3.81 |
| 14.7 | K-BB% | 14.2 |
| 44.8 | GB% | 42 |
| .326 | BABIP | .289 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 101 | Location+ | 104 |
Cardinals vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Cardinals starter Dustin May for 4.35 strikeouts in his matchup against the Mets tonight, giving us a strong 13.6% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 5.5, which is good enough to tag the Under with a B+ grade in our system.
Cardinals vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
May has recorded 60 strikeouts this season and has generally done a solid job generating punchouts. However, this number appears a bit inflated given the matchup and the projection.
Looking at his recent form, May has actually cleared 4.5 strikeouts in four of his last five starts, with his only Under coming in a three-strikeout performance. Over a larger 10-start sample, he has gone Under 4.5 strikeouts four times.
So why does PRO still like the Under?
The answer lies in the difference between a 4.5 and a 5.5 strikeout line, as well as the quality of the opponent. The Mets present a much tougher challenge than many of the lineups May has faced recently. New York features a patient group of hitters capable of working deep counts and forcing opposing starters out of games earlier than expected.
That's important because May doesn't need to pitch poorly for this Under to cash. He can still be effective and finish with four or five strikeouts, which is exactly where the projection lands.
Pick: Dustin May Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145, betMGM)
