The New York Yankees host the St. Louis Cardinals on August 4, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CARD.
The Yankees are favored by -200 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Cardinals are +165 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Cardinals vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction
- Cardinals vs Yankees Pick: Ryan Weathers Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-113, DraftKings)
My Cardinals vs Yankees best bet is on Ryan Weathers to go under his props/pitching" target="_blank" rel="noopener">strikeouts total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Cardinals vs Yankees Odds
| Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +105 | 8.5 -100o / -120u | +165 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -125 | 8.5 -100o / -120u | -200 |
- Cardinals vs Yankees moneyline: Cardinals +165, Yankees -200
- Cardinals vs Yankees over/under: 8.5 (-100o / -120u)
- Cardinals vs Yankees spread: Yankees -1.5 (+105 ), Cardinals +1.5 (-125)
Cardinals vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| RHP Hunter Dobbins (STL) | Stat | LHP Ryan Weathers (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | W-L | 4-7 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
| 3.74/3.72 | ERA / xERA | 3.99/4.39 |
| 3.81/3.85 | FIP / xFIP | 3.77/3.27 |
| TKTKTK | K-BB% | 19.3% |
| 45.5% | GB% | 46.7% |
| .316 | BABIP | .307 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 102 | Location+ | 109 |
Cardinals vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview
The Yankees enter Tuesday's game focused on maintaining momentum in the AL postseason race. Left-hander Ryan Weathers takes the mound for New York seeking to build on a series of steady rotation starts.
While Weathers has provided key innings for the rotation, his success relies heavily on pitch efficiency, ground-ball rates, and managing hard contact rather than overwhelming hitters with pure swing-and-miss stuff.
The Cardinals arrive in the Bronx leaning on a disciplined offensive approach designed to wear down opposing starters.
St. Louis has excelled at forcing long at-bats against left-handed pitching, prioritizing early-count contact and plate discipline. Their ability to minimize swing-and-miss moments makes them a frustrating assignment for starting pitchers looking to build high strikeout totals.
Cardinals vs Yankees Pick, Betting Analysis
Our PRO Projections model shows an edge for Weathers to stay under his strikeout total for Tuesday's game.
The Cardinals are a tough matchup for left-handed strikeout props. St. Louis features a lineup that consistently keeps strikeout rates low against southpaws, opting to put balls in play rather than chasing out of the zone. This disciplined approach directly suppresses a pitcher's strikeout ceiling.
While Weathers is capable of solid outings, his recent performance metrics reflect a pitcher who hovers right around or below this 5.5 line. He's recorded 5 or fewer strikeouts in multiple recent starts (including 4 Ks vs. White Sox and 5 Ks vs. Pirates).
He operates primarily by generating contact and keeping his pitch count manageable rather than selling out for high-velocity punchouts.
Clearing a 5.5 strikeout threshold requires either elite whiff rates or working deep into the 6th or 7th inning with a high pitch count. If St. Louis puts balls in play early in counts, Weathers can pitch effectively and go deep into the game without accumulating the 6 strikeouts needed to beat this prop.
Pick: Ryan Weathers Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-113, DraftKings)
