The Boston Red Sox (84-71) and Tampa Bay Rays (94-60) meet tonight, with the game set to start at 1:40 p.m. EDT at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. The game will be broadcast live on RAYS and can be traded on Kalshi.
The Rays are favored by -1.5 against the spread, with the over/under set at 8.5. The Rays are the preferred trading option, while the Red Sox will be looking to pull off an upset.
Let's get into my Red Sox vs. Rays predictions and picks, and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Red Sox vs. Rays Predictions, Odds
Red Sox vs. Rays Pick
Red Sox vs. Rays Pick: Griffin Jax Over 14.5 Strikeouts (55%, Kalshi)
Red Sox vs. Rays Analysis, Prediction
We'll look at Rays starter Griffin Jax for this prop. The reliever-turned-starter has been solid for Tampa, posting a 3.80 ERA, 4.40 xERA, and 3.86 FIP in 104 innings.
The innings are what stand out here. Since June, Jax has gone 5+ innings in 13 of his last 14 starts, and the only one he didn't was his first start back after a month-long IL stint. He also gave up six runs, so he pitched poorly, but he followed it with back-to-back five-frame starts.
Jax's line for outs recorded is 14.5, and since he's routinely gone more than five innings and the Rays still have a division lead to hold onto, he should pitch five full innings once again.
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Trade: Griffin Jax Over 14.5 Strikeouts (55%, Kalshi)
