The Toronto Blue Jays host the Tampa Bay Rays on May 15, 2025. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SNET.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rays vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
My Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Rays vs Blue Jays Picks: Blue Jays -1.5 (+125 | Play to +115)
My Rays vs Blue Jays best bet is on the Blue Jays run line. Check our live MLB odds page to find the best odds.
Rays vs Blue Jays Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -155 | 8 -118o / -102u | +145 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 8 -118o / -102u | -175 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Zack Littell (TBR) | Stat | RHP Kevin Gausman (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | W-L | 3-3 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 4.40 / 4.79 | ERA /xERA | 3.97 / 3.86 |
| 5.17 / 4.38 | FIP / xFIP | 3.28 / 3.95 |
| 1.11 | WHIP | 0.97 |
| 11.2 | K-BB% | 16 |
| 39.5 | GB% | 36.6 |
| 85 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 105 | Location+ | 105 |
Tony Sartori’s Rays vs Blue Jays Preview
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview: Littell Faces Pressure to Deliver
Right-hander Zack Littell takes the mound for the Tampa Bay Rays and should serve as a good sell-high candidate.
Littell is not anything special. He's posted a 2-5 record through eight starts behind a 4.40 ERA and 1.11 WHIP.
However, his underlying metrics are far worse.
Littell ranks in the bottom quarter of qualified pitchers in expected ERA (xERA), expected batting average allowed (xBA), strikeout rate, barrel rate allowed, and hard-hit rate allowed.
Following Littell is a fade-worthy bullpen. Among MLB teams, Tampa Bay’s relief staff ranks 22nd in fielding independent pitching (FIP) and 24th in wins above replacement (WAR).
Meanwhile, this pitching staff may struggle to find run support. The Rays rank in the bottom half of the league in runs scored per game, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS and home runs.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview: Gausman Poised to Dominate at Home
Tampa Bay’s offensive woes will likely continue against right-hander Kevin Gausman, who gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays.
The clear pitching advantage in this matchup goes to Gausman, who outranks Littell in ERA, WHIP, xERA, xBA, strikeout rate, walk rate, barrel rate allowed, nd hard-hit rate allowed.
Furthermore, Gausman boasts a 3.05 ERA across his past seven outings against the Rays.
The pitching advantage doesn’t stop with the starters, either.
Toronto’s bullpen outranks Tampa Bay’s in both FIP and WAR.
That leaves the hitting, which is another advantage for the Blue Jays.
Entering this matchup, Toronto ranks higher than Tampa Bay in runs scored per game, hits per game, batting average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS.
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Analysis
The current Toronto roster also boasts a strong track record against Littell.
Through 53 combined lifetime plate appearances against the right-hander, it owns a .306 batting average, .449 slugging percentage and .352 weighted on-base average (wOBA).
Add in home-field advantage, and nearly every edge favors the Jays.
Toronto’s past seven wins have come by at least a two-run margin.
Pick: Blue Jays -1.5 (+125 | Play to +115)
Moneyline
I think Toronto wins, but I see more value on the run line.
Run Line (Spread)
As mentioned, I'm betting the Blue Jays run line at +125.
Over/Under
I lean toward the Over, but don't want to fade Gausman against Tampa.
Rays vs Blue Jays Betting Trends
