The Baltimore Orioles host the Texas Rangers on June 23, 2025. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MASN.
Baltimore is a -135 favorite with a 9.5-run total.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rangers vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Rangers vs Orioles Prediction
- Rangers vs Orioles picks: Rangers ML +115
My Rangers vs Orioles best bet is Rangers moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rangers vs Orioles Odds
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -185 | 9.5 -115o / -105u | +115 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 9.5 -115o / -105u | -140 |
Rangers vs Orioles Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Patrick Corbin (TEX) | Stat | LHP Trevor Rogers (BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | W-L | 0-0 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 3.91/4.34 | ERA /xERA | 3.12/2.79 |
| 4.60/4.32 | FIP / xFIP | 2.38/3.90 |
| 1.25 | WHIP | 1.15 |
| 10.2% | K-BB% | 16.2% |
| 39.4% | GB% | 45.8% |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 103 | Location+ | 108 |
Sean Paul’s Rangers vs Orioles Preview
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview: Rogers Returns, But Offense Looks Thin
The Orioles' season has totally flipped in the last month, sitting just six games out from the third wild card spot in the American League.
After ownership refused to spend big money on pitching, last year’s deadline addition — Trevor Rogers — was expected to help. The bad news? Rogers didn’t even break camp with the team, and this is just his third big-league outing in 2025.
It was three weeks between Rogers' first and second outings. He looked dazzling in the first leg of a doubleheader versus the Red Sox, pitching 5 1/3 scoreless innings. Then five days ago, Rogers allowed eight baserunners and three runs in just 2 1/3 innings against the Rays.
Rogers was far from spectacular in eight outings in Norfolk, the Orioles’ Triple-A affiliate. He posted a 5.51 ERA with a 1.56 WHIP in 32 2/3 innings.
I’m more concerned about the Orioles' offensive attack here. Baltimore ranks 27th versus left-handed pitching with a 72 wRC+ — and Adley Rutschman, who has a 123 wRC+ versus lefties, just hit the injured list.
Plus, Ryan O’Hearn, who should make his first All-Star team, will sit in against a lefty in a platoon with right-handed bat Coby Mayo. O’Hearn, along with Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday, has a wRC+ below 100 against lefties.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview: Corbin's Bounce-Back and Batters Waking Up
I can't lie. I expected almost nothing from Patrick Corbin after a disastrous past four seasons in Washington. But he's proved me wrong, pitching to a 3.91 ERA and 4.33 xERA over 71 1/3 innings.
Corbin’s per-nine stats are virtually the same as in 2024. He enters his 14th outing with a 6.69 K/9, 2.90 BB/9 and 1.39 HR/9.
In fact, each number is a little worse than last year.
So, why is Corbin's ERA sitting at 3.91 compared to 5.62 last year? For one, he was quite unlucky last year. Secondly, he's stranding a career-best 79% of baserunners, compared to 65% last year.
It's safe to assume the strand rate will regress to the mean, but if he strands around 72-75%, he'll have an ERA in the low 4's.
Very few teams have seen a bigger shift in their offensive production than the Rangers. From March to the end of May, the Rangers ranked 28th in MLB with an 80 wRC+.
The real issue was Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia being automatic outs in the middle of the order. Garcia had 72 wRC+ in his first 56 games, while Semien posted 55 wRC+ in 58 games.
That said, it's no coincidence that Texas ranks 10th in the MLB with 107 wRC+ through 18 games in June, while Semien and Garcia have 176 and 146 wRC+, respectively. I'll provide even more reasons for optimism about the Rangers; bats — Corey Seager and Wyatt Langford have struggled this month.
If all four hitters connect at the same time, Texas will be one of the truly elite offenses in MLB.
Similar to Baltimore, Texas is pretty lefty-heavy. However, Garcia and Semien should pose some real challenges for Rogers and Baltimore.
Rangers vs Orioles Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Rangers are currently +115, which I'll gladly grab. They aren't good against lefty pitching either, but I believe in their offense against lefties more than the Orioles, particularly with Rutschman out. Plus, Corbin is a better pitcher than Rogers. I'm willing to minimize Rogers's one strong outing versus Boston based on his track record last year and performance in the minors this year.
Go with the road dog.
Pick: Rangers ML
Moneyline
I like the Rangers here.
Run Line (Spread)
I have no play on the run line.
Over/Under
I have no play on the total.
