The Cleveland Guardians host the Toronto Blue Jays on June 26, 2025. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SNET.
Read our Blue Jays vs Guardians prediction and MLB pick below.
My Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Guardians Picks: Under 8 (-110, BetMGM)
My Blue Jays vs Guardians best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Guardians Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8 -110o / -110u | -110 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 8 -110o / -110u | -110 |
Tanner McGrath’s Blue Jays vs Guardians Preview
One of our Action Labs betting systems — powered by Evan Abrams — popped for this game.
Silent Sharp Unders targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are playing well, but the total still drops. Essentially, it’s designed to fade two competent, winning teams against each other in stable winning conditions.
Despite both teams showing strength, the market still slightly favors the under, for whatever reason.
By following this subtle signal — when the public eye is more focused on win streaks rather than totals — this system identifies value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.
There’s been much talk of Kevin Gausman’s decline since the beginning of last season, but I believe he’s rebounded from a tough 2024.
He’s getting unlucky with a crazy low strand rate (65.7%). He’s due for some positive regression (4.60 ERA, 3.90 xERA, 3.79 xFIP) behind an improved strikeout minus walk rate (17.2%) and above-average advanced pitching model metrics (101 Stuff+, 105 Location+, 107 Pitching+, 3.02 botERA).
His fastball velocity has rebounded after dropping last season, and he’s somewhat re-found his splitter. I think better days are ahead for the two-time All-Star.
Meanwhile, I’m a Tanner Bibee believer, as all his secondary pitches grade out above-average, and projections are relatively high on his potential FIP range (3.91 to 4.07).
We should get rock-solid pitching across all nine innings, as these are two of the league’s better bullpens. While the stats don’t entirely reflect it yet, Toronto’s bullpen has evolved into a potential top-five unit behind Brendon Little and company.
While I’m relatively high on Toronto’s lineup, I’m very low on Cleveland’s, as the Guardians have posted a meager 72 wRC+ against right-handed pitching over the past two weeks.
Pick: Under 8 (-110, BetMGM)
