The Miami Marlins host the Washington Nationals on August 23, 2026. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on NATS.
The Marlins are favored by -154 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +142 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Nationals vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Nationals vs Marlins Prediction
Nationals vs Marlins Picks:
- CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)
- CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-145)
Nationals vs Marlins Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -154 | 8.5 -100o / -122u | +142 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +128 | 8.5 -100o / -122u | -154 |
Nationals vs Marlins MLB Betting Preview
The Marlins will host the Nationals on Sunday afternoon in the last of a three-game homestand at loanDepot Park in Miami.
Janson Junk will take the mound for Miami, looking to improve upon a rough season. He’s running a 4.37 ERA across 92 frames.
Nationals vs Marlins Pick, Betting Analysis
I want to fade Junk, and I think CJ Abrams is a tough matchup for Miami’s right-handed starting pitcher.
In eight previous head-to-head at-bats against Junk, Abrams has four hits, including three extra-base knocks.
Junk throws a lot of four-seam fastballs (36% usage). Despite sitting around 94 MPH on average, the pitch seldom misses bats (11% whiff rate).
Meanwhile, Abrams has posted a +12 Run Value against four-seam fastballs this year, slugging .574 against the pitch. He really turns on those.
Junk also has vast splits (.363 wOBA allowed to lefties this season, .270 against righties), while Abrams mashes right-handed pitching (158 wRC+ this season).
Picks:
- CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)
- CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-145)
